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at risk from climate-related losses, threatening livelihood support and wider ecosystem services valued at USD 14 trillion. • Southeast Asian forests are at risk from increasing drought-related dieback and forest fires. Both the length of wildfire seasons, and the areas that are susceptible to them

/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Hot southwest, normal elsewhere (2) Note: Cool/cold In the southeast; normal or warm elsewhere. (3) Note: Wet or very wet in central and northern areas, normal elsewhere

seasonal outlooks at regional and national level. Collaborative assessment of 12 dynamical seasonal prediction systems conducted, assessing ability to predict South Asian seasonal precipitation and temperature during two key monsoon seasons; southwest (June-September) and northeast (October

Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely

rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: July to April Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall July August September July August September Mauritania Mixed (1) Mixed (1) Hot Very Wet Normal* Mixed (2) Morocco

of the MENA region over the next 3 months, it is likely to be wetter than normal - this is typically a dry period, so rainfall amounts are likely to be small. The exception is western Yemen where it is likely to be drier than normal - this is the wet season, so there is a risk of drought developing

Current Status: 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall The latter part of the West Africa Monsoon season was active with many areas wetter than in September. Conditions have been wetter than normal in Central Africa with the Democratic Republic of Congo very wet in November. Uganda, Rwanda and Kenya

which was very wet, and Nigeria which was wet. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall DRC was very dry in September, with a mix of dry and wet conditions in October and November. Chad and Niger were wet in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October-December, most parts of East Africa

in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October-December, most parts of East Africa had near-normal rainfall or were dry in August and September. In October, Kenya, Ethiopia and Somalia were wet or very wet. Rainfall was mostly near-normal in Southern Africa August and September. In October

and policies impact future climate resilience, and who should be engaged in further work. Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC) https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/services/government/international-development/arrcc © Crown Copyright | Met Office 2022 Using Climate Risk Narratives to Climate Risk