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and colder than normal conditions are likely in Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos. Elsewhere, predictions are more finely balanced and largely indistinguishable from climatological odds. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely

to a warmer outlook is across parts of India where nearnormal temperatures are most likely. 3-Month Outlook July to September - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Climate Outlook Asia: March to December Overview 3 Asia Current Status and Outlook

Current Status: During March to May, many parts of East Africa experience dry or very dry conditions during their seasonal ‘Long Rains’; for some regions this was the fourth failed or poor rainy season. On 30 May 2022, the Food and Agriculture Agency of the United Nations (FAO) released a joint

or very likely across the whole continent. 3-Month Outlook March to May - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa: November to August Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Between

st Century climate change will very likely weaken the AMOC, but a shutdown in the 21 st Century is very unlikely - though still plausible. • Understanding more about AMOC shutdown ‘tipping points’ could enable early warning, giving time to take action. • Recent advances in monitoring and modelling

Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Central parts of Africa have often been dry or very dry over the past three months. East Africa has seen wet conditions at times, especially in April, with March and May having normal rainfall. 3

, as well as eastern coastal areas. 3-Month Outlook September to November 2020 - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Climate Outlook Africa: May to February Overview 3 Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: The West African

Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa: July to April Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: 3-Month Outlook November to January - Rainfall Over the last three months, wet or very wet conditions have been observed across parts of West Africa

low cloud in the south-east and mist and fog patches in the far north had burned off. The 17th was again sunny, and warm or very warm, after early mist and low cloud in East Anglia. The 18th was also sunny and warm or very warm, but cloud increased late in the day with patchy rain for parts

for the future. Very often, these projections show us how the average conditions will change, and many national and international initiatives are based around these. For example, the Paris Agreement aims to limit the global temperature rise this century to 1.5 °C. This is 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial average