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Dr Jonathan Tinker

Jonathan studies the climate of the North West European shelf seas in terms of sea level rise, temperature, salinity and circulation, over a range of timescales.

on commercial fish species, harmful algal blooms and invasive species. He is involved in the UK Climate Projections. The UKCP09 Marine Report was in the final stage of production when he started at the Met Office Hadley Centre, and he did some of the final calculations of relative sea level. For UKCP18, he

Jennifer Weeks

Jennifer Weeks is a climate scientist focussed on developing climate information on sea-level rise to guide resilience and adaptation decisions, primarily in the UK, South Africa and Asia.

information to improve the UK’s (H++) high-end sea-level rise scenario. Distilling sea-level rise information to inform coastal adaptation planning and decision-making as part of the Weather and Climate Science for Service Partnership South Africa. Working closely with the Earth Observatory Singapore

Land and sea-ice prediction

Changes in sea ice and land ice have important climate feedbacks, through albedo and ocean circulation. The melt of land ice results in sea level rise.

an important contribution to global sea level rise. The melt from mountain glaciers also contributes to river flow and impacts the availability of summer water for agriculture. The Greenland ice sheet loses ice through surface melting in summer and through drainage of ice from the interior by large glaciers

Assessing the impact of future sea-level change

The Met Office Projecting Future Sea Level (ProFSea) tool generates sea-level projections to assess the impact of future sea-level change on coastal regions.

informed decisions around adaptation, increasing their resilience to future climate risk.  Over the next century, global sea levels are on average projected to rise due to climate change. However, on a regional scale, sea-level change may differ from the global average due geophysical

srocc_sea_level_rise.pdf

September 2019 Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Briefing Note Global sea level rise – the latest evidence • Observations show sea levels are rising at an accelerating rate and human influence is the dominant cause. • Climate projections show sea level will continue to rise for several centuries

UK sea level projections to 2300

August 2019 - New sea level projections developed by the Met Office Hadley Centre have been published in a report by the Environment Agency. They show continued rise beyond 2100 under all climate change scenarios.

Sea level rise is the dominant driver of increased coastal flood risk, both historically and in future projections of climate change. Individual UK flood events are usually associated with extreme weather conditions, particularly the generation of storm surges, which can be compounded by the action

hunter-style_sea_level_rise_allowances_technical_note.pdf

UKCP18 Technical Note: Hunterstyle Sea-Level Rise Allowances 1. Introduction The current Environment Agency guidance on coastal flood risk allowances for use in Flood Risk Assessments is documented in “Flood risk assessments: climate change allowances”, available at https://www.gov.uk/guidance

sea_level_rise_final_v1.2.pdf

Sea level rise OVER THE 20 TH CENTURY… LOOKING AHEAD… Global mean sea level has risen by around 20 cm over the past century The rate of sea level rise increased substantially over the 20 th Century 2100 Further sea level rise this century is inevitable – how much depends on human greenhouse gas

4.-wsp.coastal-cliff-recession-under-climate-change.pdf

Working together on UK Climate Projections How UKCP18 sea level rise data can be used to better understand increase in shoreline erosion Published May 2018 • Mapping of future shore position over the next century using draft UKCP18 data for Newlyn. • The UKCP18 sea level rise data will look similar

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