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, surface transport and product pricing. Prior to this, completed a BSc (Hons) degree in Physics, graduating from Cardiff University in July 2017. In March 2018, she was promoted to Foundation scientist in Business Group.

for the error covariance matrices for the physical data assimilation scheme used within NEMO. Career background David joined the Met Office in 2008 as part of the Marine Data Assimilation team, before moving to the Applied Ocean Modelling Research team in 2009. Before this he completed a BSc in Mathematics and Physics at Cardiff University.  

the Met Office as a Marine Applications Scientist in April 2022.   Prior to that, Nefeli completed her PhD at Cardiff University. Her research was in collaboration with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and focused on the evaluation of the performance of the Wave Boundary

temperature and wind.  Career background Helen joined the Met Office in 2012 after completing an MPhys in Physics at Cardiff University. Whilst working for the Met Office, Helen undertook a PhD with the University of Reading to develop a method for representing black carbon (BC) concentration in snow and study the impacts of including BC snow darkening effects in the JULES land surface model.  

aerosol optical properties. At Reading, Steve also completed a PhD on stratospheric temperature trends and the effect of the 11-year solar cycle. In 2003 Steve obtained a 1st Class MPhys degree in Astrophysics from Cardiff University.

cm 40 cm 11cm 20 cm 20 cm 8cm 20 cm 20 cm BELFAST 0 cm CARDIFF 0 cm EDINBURGH 0 cm LONDON 0 cm *RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 are the low and high emission scenarios used, as in IPCC AR5. The range is very likely (5th-95th percentile). Sea level change (m) 5 4 3 2 1 High emission scenario Low emission scenario

(1998) 1996 Dishforth (N Yorks) 142.5 106.4 (1993) 1992 Brize Norton (Oxon) 145.6 108.0 (1998) 1968 Odiham (Hants) 158.1 102.2 (1963) 1963 Bournemouth 150.6 101.7 (1966) 1951 Cardiff 151.0 144.0 (1920) 1904 Bristol 153.1 113.5 (1961) 1937 Bracknell (Berks) 160.8 106.0 (1983) 1963 Southampton 173.4

. An additional source of uncertainty is whether ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland will melt steadily, or rapidly collapse (after reaching a tipping point). In UK Climate Projections (UKCP18), projections of sea-level change out to 2300 were called “exploratory” projections. Cardiff (Newport) RCP 4.5

) at 2100 under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 relative to a baseline period of 1981-2000. The lower number in the range is at the 5th percentile, and the higher number in the range is at the 95 th percentile. Belfast (Bangor) RCP 4.5 +0.66m +0.19m RCP 8.5 +0.96m +0.34m Cardiff (Newport) RCP 4.5 +0.82m +0.36m RCP

downpours especially across Southern England. There were reports of severe flooding across parts of North Cornwall, with up to 7 inches of rainfall falling, with one particular line of intense storms running northeast-wards from St Ives up towards the Cardiff region. Heavy thunder showers rumbled