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Forecasts for the north-east part of Brazil between 0° S to 10° S and east of 50° W for the February to May wet season.

The wet season is between February and May with considerable year-to-year and decade-to-decade variability. The forecasts are produced using a combination of dynamical forecast models and statistical predictions and include predictions of the most likely of five rainfall categories (very wet, wet

% and -36% by 2100. This more intense cycle is also visible in the Sub-Andean mountain range with strongest precipitation decreases around August. In the highlands, this pattern reverses by 2100 with strongest relative precipitation in-and decrease during the dry- and wet season respectively. Because

application and ways it can be further enhanced. This application is being used to issue landslide bulletins during the monsoon season to provide communities with more time to act and reduce the impacts of such events. An example of operational impact-based forecasting at the India Meteorological

start of the MAM 2020 season. The sub-region will experience warmer than normal temperatures through the season. Noting that there was abundant rainfall during October – December 2019 and considering that the coming MAM 2020 rainfall season is anticipated to be wet, all stakeholders are called upon

is similar to figure 1.2a but probabilities of a wetter season than last year and of 10-year extremes are presented. A wetter season than 2019 is predicted to be generally very unlikely. This is not surprising given that 2019 was a record wet year in many locations. With reference to the skill

season in Nepal. Model evaluation criteria: How well do the climate models capture the large-scale processes in the atmosphere that cause extreme precipitation events? Model assessment criteria: In a south Asian monsoon, how well does the model capture wind speed and direction over the monsoon period

The UK had its warmest May and meteorological spring on record according to provisional Met Office figures in what was also a wet and dull season for many.

Spring 2024 provisional statistics Meteorological spring (March, April and May) was the warmest on record by mean temperature, in figures that were influenced by high overnight temperatures. March started the season with a mild and wet month, and that theme continued through much of spring. April

emissions could increase the variability of European seasonal rainfall, which suggests extreme events will be more likely in the future. There is an increasing risk of extremely dry seasons in the Mediterranean and extremely wet seasons elsewhere in Europe, which can lead to major impacts

England and Wales had their respective warmest Februarys on record according to provisional Met Office statistics in what was a mild and wet month for many.

hazards, most notably in early December and mid-January. This contrasts with the often mild, wet and stormy weather through much of the season. This winter is in the top 10 warmest and top 10 wettest for the UK. The UK recorded a mean average temperature of 5.29°C across the three months, making

characteristics of the East Asian Summer Monsoon compared to regional scale models, including the daily cycle of rainfall across many regions of China. Li et al (2019) focussed on an event in 2016 where 600mm of rainfall fell over parts of eastern China in just 6 days leading to catastrophic flooding