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the downscaling error, which strengthens the links between the global and regional climate model data used to derive the probability distributions at the 25 km scale. For coastal cities, the packs also include information about sea level rise but as stated earlier, the UKCP Marine Projections used here

Arctic sea ice is a sensitive indicator of climate change and changes to the sea ice cover can have potential implications for the Arctic region and beyond.

of the food chain live in or around sea ice. As sea ice is formed from frozen seawater and floats on the sea surface, melting of the ice does not contribute to sea level rise (unlike for melting glaciers and ice sheets which are stores of frozen water on land that add water to the ocean when they melt

Mean change in the variable e.g. temperature RANGE BRISTOL CLIMATE CHANGE UKCP Results UKCP Headlines for the UK Although the trend is for drier summers in the future, the latest UKCP data suggests possible increases in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Sea levels will continue to rise

Models (GCMs) employed in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) or from statistical or dynamical regional climate downscaling studies. In addition to climate projections that provide future ranges of quantities such as temperature, rainfall, wind, and sea level rise, many users also

Mean change in the variable e.g. temperature RANGE LEEDS CLIMATE CHANGE UKCP Results UKCP Headlines for the UK Although the trend is for drier summers in the future, the latest UKCP data suggests possible increases in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Sea levels will continue to rise

Mean change in the variable e.g. temperature RANGE KIRKLEES CLIMATE CHANGE UKCP Results UKCP Headlines for the UK Although the trend is for drier summers in the future, the latest UKCP data suggests possible increases in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Sea levels will continue

Mean change in the variable e.g. temperature RANGE CITY OF LONDON CLIMATE CHANGE UKCP Results UKCP Headlines for the UK Although the trend is for drier summers in the future, the latest UKCP data suggests possible increases in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Sea levels will continue

Mean change in the variable e.g. temperature RANGE GLASGOW CLIMATE CHANGE UKCP Results UKCP Headlines for the UK Although the trend is for drier summers in the future, the latest UKCP data suggests possible increases in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Sea levels will continue to rise

Mean change in the variable e.g. temperature RANGE EXETER CLIMATE CHANGE UKCP Results UKCP Headlines for the UK Although the trend is for drier summers in the future, the latest UKCP data suggests possible increases in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Sea levels will continue to rise

Mean change in the variable e.g. temperature RANGE BELFAST CLIMATE CHANGE UKCP Results UKCP Headlines for the UK Although the trend is for drier summers in the future, the latest UKCP data suggests possible increases in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Sea levels will continue to rise