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warming to below 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels remains possible but will require bigger emission reductions than currently pledged by nations around the world. Current emission reduction pledges, made as part of nationally determined contributions, are likely to lead to warming above 2°C

of named storms in 2015. “One thing that is clear from observations is that there’s big variability year-to-year in the number and intensity of storms that impact the UK.  In our observational records, it’s hard to detect any trend one way or the other in terms of number and intensity of low

-industrial levels remains possible but will require bigger emission reductions than currently pledged by nations around the world. Current emission reduction pledges, made as part of nationally determined contributions, are likely to lead to warming above 2°C. The Committee on Climate Change advises

to below 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels remains possible but will require bigger emission reductions than currently pledged by nations around the world. Current emission reduction pledges, made as part of nationally determined contributions, are likely to lead to warming above 2°C. The Committee

must limit global warming to well below 2°C, whilst aiming for 1.5°C. Following COP26, limiting warming to below 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels remains possible but will require bigger emission reductions than currently pledged by nations around the world. Current emission reduction pledges, made

of the country are likely to experience a technical heatwave. In this deep dive, we’ll explore the meteorological setup behind the heat, what to expect in the coming days, and how this ties into broader seasonal patterns. The big picture: High pressure takes control The story begins with the jet stream, which

are correct then this suggests a big change in Atlantic Multi-Decadal Variability. This will be investigated in much more detail over the coming months and the implications for the climate of the UK and western Europe explored.   Similarly relative cooling in the north-east and south-east Pacific Ocean

................................................................................................................. 4 5. Annexe ...................................................................................................................... 8 © Crown copyright 2018, Met Office Page 1 of 10 Introduction Individuals make big things happen

Talks � � � � This talk – concentrates on large-scale three-dimensional (3-D) modelling (including MHD) and complementary techniques. Harrison and Davies talk – provides the context of L5 having been there already with the STEREO-B HIs and the bigger picture of visible-light heliospheric imaging

things better? More and better observations • Number, accuracy, variety Bigger supercomputers • More expensive choices possible (e.g. model resolution) Better science • Clever people! • Partnerships • Seamless(?) EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS Global Mode-S aircraft data: • Large