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  • Thunderstorm risk before warmer weather to come

    Meteorologist Steven Keates is providing the medium range forecast. He said: “More of a northwest/southeast split in the UK weather is developing from Friday and into the weekend. High pressure will begin to establish itself from the southeast, allowing a good deal of settled weather through the weekend

  • 10-Day trend: A more changeable spell ahead as July draws to a close

    to a close Author: Met Office Thu 23 Jul 2026 After a predominantly dry and very warm July so far, the UK’s weather pattern is beginning to shift. While many areas will retain settled conditions through the end of this week, there are increasing signs of more changeable weather developing over

  • mwr_2024_07_for_printpdf

    more than the average July rainfall by midmonth. Temperatures increased in the third week of July, with temperatures in the upper 20s across southeast England, reaching the 30s in some areas. Heathrow and Kew Gardens (Greater London) both saw 32.0°C on the 30th, the highest temperature of the year so

  • 2017: warmest year on record without El Niño

    Provisional figures confirm that 2017 was the warmest year on record without the influence of warming from El Niño.

    in the atmosphere. Prof Tim Osborn is the Director of Research at the University of East Anglia’s Climatic Research Unit. He said: “It isn't only the average global temperature that matters: we can also explain the geographical pattern of the warming.  Greater warming over land and in the Arctic

  • mwr_2026_05_for_printpdf

    warmest. Maximum temperatures were also well above average, with England provisionally recording its warmest May for maximum temperatures. Provisionally, Kew Gardens (London) recorded a new May maximum daily temperature on the 25th, which was broken again the very next day as temperatures continued

  • When will it rain next?

    2025 If you’ve been wondering when the next rain shower will arrive, you’re not alone. Across much of the UK, this spring has been unusually dry. While the sunshine has been welcome for many, it’s also raised concerns, particularly for farmers, gardeners, and anyone relying on regular rainfall. Why

  • Why has it been so dry recently? 

    , sunny and breezy weather can all accelerate the loss of moisture from the ground, vegetation and water bodies.  The result is that rainfall deficits become more noticeable. Gardens, farmland, river catchments and reservoirs can all come under increasing stress, especially when warm conditions

  • February’s weather extremes: a closer look at February's current weather records

    airflows dominate. Data from the Met Office shows several instances where February’s highest daily maximum temperatures reached the mid‑teens. Last year, Hull East Park recorded a notably warm day at 17°C, a temperature more typical of early spring than late winter. Similar values appear elsewhere

  • ukcp18-guidance---how-to-use-joint-probability-plots.pdf

    direction, i.e. lower temperature and reduced rainfall (colder and drier) as well as higher temperature and increased rainfall (warmer and wetter) are more likely than the two variables changing in opposite directions. • The position of the individual simulations and the shaded area, displaced up

  • Temporary breaching of 1.5C in next five years?

    indicated that there was a 40% chance of the temperature temporarily exceeding 1.5°C between 2021-2025.  Paris Agreement Dr Leon Hermanson, of the Met Office, led today’s report. He said: “Our latest climate predictions show that continued global temperature rise will continue, with an even chance

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