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(%) Weather Type Visibility (m) Pressure (hPa) Pressure Tendency (Pa/s) Hourly observation reports as recorded in real time by the Met Office UK Monitoring System. It should be noted that sites will only report parameters based on the instrumentation installed at each site and we only make available

during the 21st century in the region of Singapore, 12(3), 613–632. https://doi.org/10.5194/os- 12-613-2016 Church, J.A., P.U. Clark, A. Cazenave., J.M. Gregory., S. Jevrejeva., A. Levermann., et al. (2013). Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment

East Africa refers to the region 5°N to 15°S and east of 30°E, mainly incorporating the countries Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, Malawi and parts of Zambia and Mozambique. Rainfall occurs in two wet seasons - in March to May and October to December. Our forecast is for the latter period. Forecasts

30.228 (approximately 25 km 3 25 km), with a vertical resolution of 19 atmospheric levels using a hybrid coordinate system (a linear combination of a terrain-following s coordinate and an atmospheric pressure–based coordinate). Using a single GCM projection to drive RCMs can provide us with some

Scotland Greg Wolverson 07803 438692 Ryan MacFarlane 07892 767455 Catherine Dickson 07768 718748 Northern Ireland John Wylie 07810 656502 Eileen Stamp 07753 880293 N England Kevin Wadsworth 07825 102520 Alan Goodman 07753 880252 E Midlands, Humber, S&W Yorkshire Hazel Reeve 07467 338768 Chrissy Smith

Centre, Exeter, UK PART 1. FORECAST Summary There are elevated probabilities for below average rainfall for the forthcoming October- December season. 1.1 Whole Region Statistical and dynamical forecasts of October-November-December (OND) rainfall for the East Africa region, defined as 5 o N-15 o S, 30

-15 o S, 30 o E to Indian Ocean Coast, are presented in Figure 1.1. The statistical forecast is produced by discriminant analysis using indices of worldwide Sea Surface Temperature (SST) as predictors. The dynamical forecast is produced using the Met Office GloSea5 dynamical seasonal prediction

weather@home 1 weather@home - development and validation of a very large ensemble modelling system for probabilistic event attribution N. Massey ∗ab , R. Jones da , F. E. L. Otto a , T. Aina c , S. Wilson d , J. M. Murphy d , D. Hassell f , Y. H. Yamazaki eg , M. R. Allen ae a Environmental Change

In 2022, the UK Climate Projections (UKCP)’s Development and Knowledge Sharing (DaKS) Network of users were surveyed to identify gaps in what information had been provided so far. Users requested the need for clearer messaging on trends and observations in storminess. This document aims to provide

). Introduction to Coastal Processes Extracted from: Masselink, G. and R. Gehrels (eds), (2014), Coastal Environments & Global Change, AGU-Wiley The multiscale nature of (left) hydrodynamics and (right) sediment transport Extracted from: Vitousek, S. Barnard, P.L. & Limber, P. (2017) Can beaches survive climate