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(Matthes et al, 2017), which will be used internationally in future climate modelling studies (CMIP6), and an updated estimate of volcanic forcing. Three dominant factors are shown to be important in driving the most recent slowdown: a negative (cooling) phase of the IPO, reduced solar irradiance

over land. But these factors alone accounted for around half of the observed temperature anomaly of last summer, with a similar magnitude influence from climate change. Figure 1: UK average daily maximum and minimum temperature during April to August 2018. Each curve is shaded with respect to values

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January 2020 - This article explores the weather and climate drivers that have contributed to the recent extreme heat and drought over Australia in the context of a changing climate.

and climate drivers that have contributed to the recent extreme heat and drought over Australia in the context of a changing climate. Influences on fire: ignition, fuel and weather conditions Fires depend on a combination of available fuel, fire weather conditions, and ignition. Vegetation provides

Climate change made a secondary contribution by increasing the moisture holding capacity of the atmosphere. The winter of 2013-14 will be remembered for many years for remarkably widespread and persistent flooding that affected many parts of England, including the low-lying Somerset moors

with results from 58 CMIP6 models in Figs. 8 and 9, and 64 in Fig. 10. Our assessment is limited to a simple “topdown” comparison of the intensity of variability in the relevant index values, preceded by a brief survey of current understanding of their properties and influences. ENSO influences climate

Spring 2025 has broken historical climate records, marking an unprecedented season of warmth and sunshine across the UK, according to provisional Met Office statistics.

since the year 2000, and the three warmest springs have all occurred since 2017, a sign of our changing climate.   All four nations also recorded their highest spring mean temperature, with Northern Ireland and Scotland recording notably high temperatures, up 1.6°C on average . For Northern Ireland

but is a more effective driver of climate change. This means changes in methane emissions can disproportionately influence the climate over the coming decades. Distinguishing between natural and anthropogenic sources is therefore important to mitigating climate change in both the near and long term

to periods of prolonged rainfall, which in extreme situations leads to flooding. However, it is still possible to get nice weather in-between weather fronts, especially if the cloud clears and the Sun comes out. Low pressure in the winter often signals stormy or wintry conditions. More information

minimum temperatures were generally in London (strongly influenced by the urban heat-island effect) but, in contrast to daily maximum temperatures, often also around the coastline of the south-east from Suffolk to Hampshire due to the increased humidity from the maritime influence. The highest daily