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conditions through the coming three months, this is also true for Yemen. The Caribbean is likely to be wetter than normal. Across South America, wetter than normal conditions are very likely across Columbia, Guyana and Venezuela Tropical Cyclones: The North Atlantic season is now over. 3-Month

in the west, hot in the southeast, normal elsewhere (5) Note: Very wet in the west * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: January to October Current Status 10 Current Status – Central Africa Current Status: Temperature Current

influence patterns of rainfall around the world. However, should a negative IOD develop, then wetter than normal conditions become more likely, later in this period, across Australia, along with Malaysia and Indonesia; drier than normal conditions in East Africa for the Short Rains season (October-November

Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

A cool and wet May has brought a Spring of marked contrast, according to provisional figures from the Met Office.

second wettest May on record, and its wettest since 1967, with 121.4mm of rain. Devon also had its wettest May on record with an average of 199.3mm of rainfall topping the 169.8mm record set in May 1942. The often dull and wet conditions resulted in subdued temperatures across the board, thanks largely

, on detailed short-range weather forecasts for the public and responders, with the emphasis on severe weather warnings. Nevertheless, in recent years there have been a number of seasons and extended periods which have shown persistent weather conditions associated with significant impacts. Feedback

76 Figure 5.11 Regional compound temperature and rainfall extremes 78 Figure 5.12a Persistent and whiplash hot and cold months and seasons 84 Figure 5.12b Persistent and whiplash wet and dry months and seasons 84 Figure 5.13 Years with record monthly and daily extremes a) High temperature extremes b

and the IRI Map Room: http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). (1) Note: Hot in the east and cool or cold in the west (2) Note: Very wet in Cuba, dry for much of the Lesser Antilles, else normal. (3) Note

wet in parts of the north * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: April to January Current Status 10 Current Status – Central Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall April May June April May June Niger Normal

rainfall change; some evidence of a shift towards a decreasing frequency but increasing intensity of tropical cyclones; and understanding that El Nino events typically lead to drier conditions in the dry season and more extremes in the wet season. The scientists stated that such information