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cooling influence from La Niña – the cooler counterpart to El Niño in the tropical Pacific - is expected to keep 2021’s final temperature value between the fifth to seventh warmest year since 1850. The last seven years 2015 to 2021 are on track to be the warmest seven-year period on record. Professor

Areas of expertise  ENSO and ENSO teleconnections Seasonal prediction Ocean modelling My Publications - Ineson, S Current activities ENSO is the largest natural interannual climate signal in the tropics and fluctuations between warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) phases occur every occur every few

of year, particularly for southern areas of the country, where some places may reach the mid 20's. You can check the latest forecast on our website, by following us on Twitter and Facebook, as well as on our mobile app which is available for iPhone from the App store and for Android from the Google Play store.   

, A. Arribas, G. S. Jones, D. Copsey, J. R. Knight, and W. J. Tennant, 2013: A new HadGEM3-A based system for attribution of weather and climaterelated extreme events, J. Clim., 26, 2756-2783, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00169.1. Christidis, N., 2021: Using CMIP6 multi-model ensembles for near real-time

change. © Crown copyright 2025, Met Office Page 10 of 12 OFFICIAL-SENSITIVE References Christidis, N., P. A. Stott, A. Scaife, A. Arribas, G. S. Jones, D. Copsey, J. R. Knight, and W. J. Tennant, 2013: A new HadGEM3-A based system for attribution of weather and climaterelated extreme events, J. Clim

geomagnetic storm, so far, of this solar cycle • Major disturbance of ionosphere: – Night-time ionosphere over S. England heavily depleted, compared to normal – EGNOS (GPS correction system) degraded, see left (red = best performance, blue = worst) • Aurora seen in north of UK • Cause may

Current issue date: 14 August 2023 Original approval(s): Expiry date: 13 August 2026 ISO 14001 - 3 August 2017 Certificate identity number: 10543563 Certificate of Approval This is to certify that the Management System of: Met Office FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, United Kingdom has been approved

: ……………………………………climatic zone(s) Morning Afternoon Night Rainfall distribution Maximum temperature Minimum temperature Hazards Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Key to rainfall distribution symbols: rain likely to fall in few places (less than 33%), rain likely to fall in many places (33% -67

: ……………………………………climatic zone(s) Morning Afternoon Night Rainfall distribution Maximum temperature Minimum temperature Hazards Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Key to rainfall distribution symbols: rain likely to fall in few places (less than 33%), rain likely to fall in many places (33% -67

and vegetation Neil Kaye Neil specialises in creating bespoke visualisations and interactive web tools for climate science Dr Fraser Lott Fraser works on the detection and attribution of climate change, particularly of climate-related events. Dr Gareth S Jones Gareth's main research activity