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damaging wind and rain to central and southern parts of the UK. The 2023/2024 storm season was a busy one, culminating in Storm Lilian in August, the first time ‘L’ has been reached in a single storm season since the naming system began in 2015. The end of January saw the first red warning

on the atmosphere potentially raising the average global temperature; very likely to a new global record this year or next. There are anticipated impacts in regions adjacent to the Pacific; notably southeast Asia and eastern Australia, where we could see drier than average conditions which could

to previous observed UK conditions, for possible UK temperature, precipitation and wind speed in the coming season: COLD, NEAR AVERAGE and MILD for temperature WET, NEAR AVERAGE and DRY for precipitation. CALM, NEAR AVERAGE and WINDY for wind speed. The NEAR AVERAGE category represents typical conditions

, Normal in the east 4. Note: Normal in some central parts 5. Note: Normal* but Very Wet in the far west * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: July to April Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status

/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). (1) Note: Wet in far west (2) Note: Wet in the east (3) Note: Dry in the south (4) Note: Normal in central parts (5) Note: Hot in the far west (6) Note: Normal in central parts, hot in the far north and south (7) Note

://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. Additional Information: (1) Note: Normal in central regions (2) Note: Normal in the west (3) Note: Wet in far west (4) Note: Wet in the east (5) Note: Dry in the south * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate

records, it’s hard to detect any trend one way or the other in terms of number and intensity of low-pressure systems that cross the UK. While our climate overall is getting wetter, there are no compelling trends in increasing storminess in recent decades. Recent stormy seasons – such as that of 2013

for one month or season at a future time period. They are available for the probabilistic projections only. In the examples provided (Figure 1), future changes in two variables – temperature and precipitation – are compared on the plot (temperature as an absolute change in degrees Celsius

across the Lesser Antilles. (3) Note: Very wet in northwest, else normal * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: October to July Current Status 12 Current Status – British Overseas Territories Current Status: Temperature Current

were well characterized, though HadRM3P exaggerated the orographic enhancement along the coastal mountains, Cascade Range, and Sierra Nevada. HadRM3P produced warm/dry northwest, cool/wet southwest U.S. patterns associated with El Niño. However, there were notable differences, including the locations