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Traditional risk assessments in the UK have focused solely on wind speed, overlooking critical factors that influence windthrow such as antecedent rainfall, wind direction, and seasonal elements like leaf cover. By analysing power outage data from 2006 to 2018, researchers have demonstrated

to the mid-19th century.” Dr Morice concluded: “While we expect global mean temperatures to continue to rise in general, we don’t expect to see year-on-year increases because of the influence of natural variability in the climate system.” On a more regional level, this confirmation follows close

and their potential to influence the type of weather in the UK over the course of a season, dry, windy, hot etc. Factors in the global climate system act to make some outcomes more likely than others, because of this we can make a prediction, showing a spread of possible outcomes. We present the likelihood

as temperatures are suitable. Temperature influences the development rate and survival of malaria parasites and of the mosquitos that spread malaria while rainfall helps create mosquito breeding sites and increases humidity (which in turn supports survival of adult mosquitoes).3 Climate variability has

been declared and could impact global weather patterns through our meteorological winter. View a brief explanation of El Nino and La Nina. In general, the influence of El Nino on UK weather is weak. Each El Nino event is different, but this page includes some discussion of some historical impacts

Through the WCSSP Programme, researchers around the world are improving our understanding of the current and future climate risks to globally important crops including maize, tea and sugarcane.

associated with climate variability.” Peiqun Zhang, Senior Scientist, Beijing Climate Centre. Studying the influence of climate on tea in the UK and China The province of Yunnan, Southwest China, is one of the biggest producers of tea in China. Scientists at the Met Office and at Yunnan University have

in modulating surface climate and climate change, the influence of effects such as El Nino on Atlantic climate and his more recent results on predictability of climate seasons or years ahead. On his acceptance of the award, Professor Scaife said: “I’m really delighted and honoured to receive

in Africa. Two distinct strands of the programme are working towards this aim, with clear objectives around influencing policy development and improving governance, and improving the quality and relevance of weather and climate information. The African Climate Policy Centre (ACPC) is one of two fund

May 2024’s average mean temperature of 13.1°C for the UK beat 2008’s previous record figure of 12.1°C in a series which dates back to 1884. The month’s mean temperature has been influenced particularly by above average temperatures in the northern half of the UK, with Scotland’s May mean

José works on understanding and reducing systematic errors in coupled climate models, in particular the representation of the global hydrological cycle.

, with the aim of improving its representation in climate models. He is also interested in the large-scale effects of water in the different components of the climate system. For instance, the way atmospheric freshwater transports influence the global ocean circulation.      José collaborates with the NERC