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    El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) region sea surface temperature forecasts

    Climate centres use several standard regional averages of sea surface temperature anomalies as indices to monitor the state of the equatorial Pacific ocean, especially anomalous warming/cooling associated with El Niño and La Niña

    event that is initiating or in progress are best based on forecasts that take into account all known details of the recent and present state of the climate system.   ENSO Impacts ENSO events have widespread effects on seasonal weather and climate through their influence on large scale circulation

  • Double record breaker: Spring 2025 is warmest and sunniest on UK record

    Spring 2025 has broken historical climate records, marking an unprecedented season of warmth and sunshine across the UK, according to provisional Met Office statistics.

    since the year 2000, and the three warmest springs have all occurred since 2017, a sign of our changing climate.   All four nations also recorded their highest spring mean temperature, with Northern Ireland and Scotland recording notably high temperatures, up 1.6°C on average . For Northern Ireland

  • Microsoft Word - PRECIS_Experimental_Design_Dawit.doc

    and Analysis method 4.1 Domain Domain size selection has taken into consideration the topographic variation across the country and the large-scale features influencing the local weather and climate system in Ethiopia as discussed under section 1.2.1 and 1.2.2 above. As a result, the model’s domain made large

  • New study examines chances of record June temperature

    Climate change is shortening the odds on record breaking June monthly temperature in western Europe.

    in the year on record. Met Office Climate Change Attribution Scientist, Dr Nikos Christidis, said: “Attribution studies examine the influence of climate change on current events and how they could be more likely in the future, depending on future greenhouse gas emissions. Our latest study has looked

  • Chances of 40°C days in the UK increasing

    . “Climate change has already influenced the likelihood of temperature extremes in the UK. The chances of seeing 40°C days in the UK could be as much as 10 times more likely in the current climate than under a natural climate unaffected by human influence. The likelihood of exceeding 40°C anywhere in the UK

  • Record-breaking rain more likely due to climate change

    , with no influence from human induced climate change, an event similar or more extreme would be a 1 in 300 year event, it is now a 1 in 100 year event in the current climate. By 2100 under a medium emissions scenario (SSP2 4.5) that level of extreme daily rainfall could be seen every 30 years, making it 10 times

  • Reducing emissions through the Devon Carbon Plan

    Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

  • Pacific Ocean warming signals the possible return of a strong El Niño

    of a strong El Niño Author: Met Office Wed 15 Apr 2026 A significant shift is underway in the tropical Pacific, with clear signs that an El Niño event is developing. El Niño is one of the most important drivers of year‑to‑year climate variability on Earth, influencing weather patterns across large parts

  • Does a hot summer mean a cold winter? 

    Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

  • Met Office Deep Dive: UK weather forecast and what's in store for winter?

    in the overall weather pattern. The influence of global drivers Global climate drivers, such as El Niño and La Niña, play a role in shaping seasonal forecasts. This winter, a weak La Niña event is present in the Pacific Ocean. La Niña typically shifts the areas of showers and thunderstorms

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