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changes. The attribution protocol represents a step towards delivering attribution as a service. Climate attribution compares the likelihood of an event in the current climate to its likelihood in a counterfactual simulated world with only natural forcing (i.e. without human influence). This approach

Summary for Scientists Synthesis of literature and available climate information to support resilience-building following Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) in the Philippines 31 July 2015 Joseph Daron and Rosanna Amato Background Project Information Typhoon Haiyan (locally named Yolanda) struck

July 2019 - This Research News article provides details of a new Met Office briefing note on how lags in our climate system lead to committed warming under a range of emissions scenarios.

The climate system responds to human influences on a range of different time-scales. Changes in the net amount of the sun’s energy absorbed by the Earth, known as the ‘radiative forcing’, happen quickly in response to emissions of greenhouse gases. For many other climate metrics there is a slower

the next few months. Seasonal forecasts provide information about these long-term averages. Why are seasonal forecasts possible? Conditions at the Earth's surface, in particular slow fluctuations in the surface temperature of the global oceans, can influence patterns in the weather. These influences

 (CMEMS) and are used for a wide range of applications, including numerical weather prediction and climate monitoring.   The team also produces GMPE, the Group for High Resolution Sea Surface Temperature (GHRSST) Multi-Product Ensemble. Vanessa is working on incorporating new analyses into GMPE

These maps show the observed regional trends in 6 types of climate extremes and impacts, with examples of impactful extreme weather events attributable partly or wholly to anthropogenic climate change.

The map shows observed changes in river flows influenced by climate change, between 1971 and 2010. Agricultural drought The map shows observed changes in agricultural (soil moisture) drought since the 1950s. Fire weather The map shows change in length of fire weather season between 1979 and 2019 from

-class standard of the Met Office, with its unified weather and climate model. • This figure excludes the value of the Met Officeʼs international influence, as this, although important, is difficult to quantify and was not in the scope of the Review. It also excludes the value that the Met Officeʼs

The Human dynamics of climate change poster studies the impacts of climate change in the context of present-day human dynamics

changes in climate and population between a present day  baseline (1981-2010) and the end of the 21st century (2071-2100). The climate projections shown do not include any assumptions about adaptation or adaptive capacity. They represent the potential long-term influence of climate change on human

the tropical Pacific. La Niña will be the main driver of temperature and rainfall anomalies across the tropics over the next three months. La Niña’s influence will also extend further north and south, mainly early in the period. Consistent with long-term climate change, many parts of the globe

needed to help them adapt to the impacts of a changing climate. Research showing that human activities increase the risk of an extreme weather or climate event also supports policies to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. 1 Ren et al. Anthropogenic influences on the persistent night-time heat wave