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the long-term average, with southern areas furthest above average, provisionally the third warmest August for England in a series from 1884. Rainfall was well below average in most places, though localised heavy downpours meant that a few places were close to average, with 47% overall. Sunshine totals
, humid air were drawn northwards off continental Europe. However, by the 11th the temperatures dropped as Arctic air moved in. The third week saw temperatures again above average, before a return to much cooler conditions in the final week of the month. It was also a very wet month for many
on the 14th and 15th. The mild sunny weather resumed from the 21st to 27th with recordbreaking temperatures, followed by a breakdown from the west on the 28th. The mean temperature for February was provisionally 2.4 °C above the long-term average. It was the third warmest February in a series from 1910
with downloads now totalling 5.5m. There has been a further push to grow indirect reach with third parties including the upgrades to the Public Weather Media Service (PWMS) and syndication growth with a significant rise in the number of video plays where Met Office content is shown by third parties
areas, while mean minimum temperatures were similarly high in parts of eastern England. Most areas from Wales and the Midlands northwards had a dry month, with less than a third of the usual rainfall in some areas, but south-east England was very wet with more than double the average rainfall
, humid air were drawn northwards off continental Europe. However, by the 11th the temperatures dropped as Arctic air moved in. The third week saw temperatures again above average, before a return to much cooler conditions in the final week of the month. It was also a very wet month for many
years. Table 1. Illustrative simple CBA of a W&CI service Discount Rate 10% Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Discount Rate Factor 1.00 1.10 1.21 1.33 1.46 1.61 1.77 1.95 2.14 2.36 2.59 Inverse DR Factor 1.00 0.91 0.83 0.75 0.68 0.62 0.56 0.51 0.47 0.42 0.39 Project costs 200 200 200 Third-party costs 100
for details). The later phases are where the anthropogenic forcing is applied. In UKCP18, the third phase was the historical simulations from 1900-2005. 1 Plausible is a subjective term. Here it means that the coupled climate simulation and its atmosphere-only configuration passed acceptability
). The second panel shows the heat content of the upper 800m of the ocean (from Met Office analyses, anomalies relative to 1951 to 2006, updated from Smith and Murphy, 2007). The third panel shows annual globally averaged sea level from tide gauges (Church and White, 2011). The lower panel shows
. Meteorological autumn was mild and wet, with Northern Ireland seeing its third wettest Autumn on record in a series which dates back to 1836. Behind the scenes, Met Office meteorologists, advisers, presenters and spokespeople were working hard to deliver short and long-range forecasts to help people
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