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and Timor-Leste. Wetter conditions are much more likely for the Philippines. Afghanistan is more likely to be drier than normal. China is more finely balanced although in the far west, as well as the far east it is likely to be drier than normal. 3-Month Outlook March to May - Rainfall Tropical

conditions have been observed across MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories through much of August and September. Conditions were more mixed during October, and much of Yemen and Somalia saw Hot conditions. Outlook: For the next three months northern parts of the Middle East are likely

the Middle East and North Africa mainly hot conditions were experienced during November. During December and January much of the region experienced near-normal temperatures. Temperatures across the Caribbean were generally above normal from throughout November to January. Outlook: For most

Prediction Center and the IRI Map Room: http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. Additional Information: (1) Note: Wet in parts of the south and east, dry in the far northwest (2) Note: Normal in some central parts (3) Note: Hot in the far south (4) Note: Wet or very wet in the south * Region usually

Areas of expertise Statistical post-processing of model output Verification of probabilistic forecast Analysis of model drifts Assessing model performance for the East Asian Summer Monsoon Publications by Anna Maidens Current activities Anna's work includes looking at different ways of combining

the last three month the Middle East has experienced much above normal temperatures, and most other regions have been warmer than normal. The exception to this has been some of the more remote British Overseas Territories, such as Pitcairn Islands, as well as northern parts of South America, where

coldest recorded temperatures in the UK Author: Press Office 16 October 2012 This lists the lowest temperatures recorded in separate cold spells since 1961.   Date Station Area Temperature 1 10 January 1982                   Braemar                      East Scotland                    -27.2 °C

More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: October to July Overview 3 MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status

and ‘thunder snow’. Light snow in areas of southern England Further south parts of Kent and south east England woke to snowfall this morning. This snow spread northwards giving a dusting of snow over the Wealds and Downs of southeast England. Current conditions Friday will continue unsettled

continuing through the bank holiday, Sunday will start off dry and bright in many western areas, but cloudier with some rain and drizzle in the east. Western and central parts of the UK are expected to have a mainly fine, warm and dry day with sunny spells, which will eventually spread to all areas