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Creating a five-year window into future climate

Providing annually-updated five-year climate predictions at global and continental scales is the focus of a new international science collaboration co-ordinated by the WMO and led by the UK’s Met Office.

to 1.5 degrees Celsius,” said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas. Dr Doug Smith leads decadal climate prediction research and development at the Met Office Hadley Centre. He said: “This product takes into account natural variations as well as human influences on climate to provide the best possible

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Impact studies should include high-sensitivity climate models

High-sensitivity climate models should not be excluded when projecting future regional climate impacts because the level of warming measured globally is not always the only good indicator of regional changes, a new study suggests.

the change in the number of drought events and climate sensitivity. This is because the magnitude of global warming is just one of many factors influencing drought and is often not the most important.  “Our results contradict suggestions that models showing higher warming should be excluded from

PowerPoint Presentation

the tropical Pacific. La Niña will be the main driver of temperature and rainfall anomalies across the tropics over the next three months. La Niña’s influence will also extend further north and south, mainly early in the period. Consistent with long-term climate change, many parts of the globe

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Heatwave will ease with thundery breakdown for some

for September on record is 21.7°C, and this record could be threatened in the coming nights. The Met Office previously completed an attribution study examining the influence of human induced climate change on tropical nights in the UK, which is explored in this newly-published blog.   Heat Health

Microsoft Word - MOB Summary 24 May 11[1].doc

Singapore and the opportunity to influence the scientific work they do. • JH reviewed the TIS investment strategy. • The Climate Security Round Table, organised and hosted by the Met Office was very successful. JH informed the Board it was the first in a planned series. • Brian Hoskins discussed

wiser0082_ghacof50_eventnotes.pdf

attendance should be a baseline going forward not just a one off. Participants need to influence gender equity when they get back to their institutions - the processes to achieve this are required to ensure that people who attend GHACOF promote inclusivity. Balanced communication of climate

Upscaling Approach Infographic-v7

The UKCR climate services upscaling approach This approach includes a series of steps for climate service providers to follow when planning their upscaling. These steps consist of activities, discussion topics, and questionnaires. Further information and a detailed toolkit is available on the Met

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Driest July in England since 1935

High pressure dominated the UK for much of July, pushing any Atlantic influence, and therefore much of the rain, into the northwest and allowing temperatures to build elsewhere. Overall, the UK saw just 56% (46.3mm) of its average rainfall for July, making it the driest July in over 20 years

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2017: warmest year on record without El Niño

Provisional figures confirm that 2017 was the warmest year on record without the influence of warming from El Niño.

spanning 2015-2016 contributed around 0.2°C to the annual average for 2016, which was about 1.1°C above the long-term average from 1850 to 1900. However, the main contributor to warming over the last 150 years is human influence on climate from increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. 2017 remains

wiser0063-western-impact-article_forecasts-0418.pdf

in planning for activities influenced by climate, such as agriculture, fishing and livestock farming,” explains Ayub Shaka, KMD National Coordinator for the WISER Western project. The ADA project successfully created forecasts and disseminated them to end users. WISER Western then built on ADA’s

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