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• Met Office 10-day trend: An unsettled start to Autumn

  Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

• UK and Global extreme events – Cold

  across the UK in winter, are also affected by the changing climate. However, how these events are likely to change in the future is less well-understood compared to average surface temperatures due to their complexity. These events and global circulation patterns influence our weather and can still

• upscaling-toolkit-stage2pdf

  the spaces where the opportunities or barriers may develop Step 2.2 – Consider the characteristics of the user organisation and the developer team The goals of Stage 2 are to maximise the opportunities for sustainable scaling via the following steps: • Identify environmental factors influencing scaling up

• Met Office research could enhance long range forecasting skill

  New research has revealed that the impact of one of the world’s most influential global climate patterns, is much more far reaching than originally thought.

  Scientists at the Met Office have discovered that, away from the tropics, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation  (ENSO) can influence Atlantic weather patterns a full year on from the original event. Research shows this one year lagged extratropical response to ENSO is as strong as the simultaneous

• Land and sea-ice prediction

  Changes in sea ice and land ice have important climate feedbacks, through albedo and ocean circulation. The melt of land ice results in sea level rise.

  the ocean, producing the cold saline bottom water which influences ocean circulation. As sunlight returns to the poles in summer, the ice melts back allowing the atmosphere to be warmed by the ocean and releasing fresh water to stratify the regional oceans. Sea ice, in both the Arctic and Antarctic

• Cold December concludes warmest year on record for UK

  Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

• Forecasting for a more secure energy future

  Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

• Specialist forecasts for a resilient future

  Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

• Seeing the bigger picture: How satellite data shapes Met Office forecasts

  Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

• an_attribution_study_of_the_uk_annual_mean_temperature_of_2025.pdf

  of approximately 3 years (5% to 95% range 2.9 to 3.2 years). • Human influence has increased the probability of occurrence by around 260 times. • In a pre-industrial climate reaching the 2025 annual mean temperature is highly unlikely with a return time estimate of just above 780 years (5% to 95