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level rise from Antarctic ice loss ..................................... 13 3. 21 st Century Projections ................................................................................................................. 15 3.1 Projections of time-mean sea level change

of the GloSea4 forecasting system to predict September ice extent (Peterson et al, in preparation) remains experimental, and some of the caveats are discussed in section 5. 3) Rationale Our projection is based on forecasts initialised between 12 th March and 1 st April 2012 inclusive (the choice

and is currently designing a MEL strategy for WISER. • The Met Office is seeking to appoint a Consultant(s) with necessary international development and MEL experience to provide technical support on MEL to the WISER programme. The Consultant will work with the WISER MEL Manager and independently to provide

Catherine Ross Author Archivist Catherine Ross Reviewer Library & Archive Manager Sarah Pankiewicz Document location Controlled Document Register location Document identity and published location: https://metoffice.sharepoint.com/:b:/r/sites/MetOfficeLibrary%26ArchiveCo mmsSite/Shared%20Documents

feedbacks in the Southern Ocean: Some highlights from New Zealand’s DeepSouth National Science Challenge - Catherine Hardacre A new approach to quantifying aerosol-cloud radiative effect through process-based constraints on climate model parameters - Kunal Ghosh Developing the next standard

of how marine probabilistic forecast data can be used and communicated effectively in providing marine probabilistic warning services for various user applications. • Warning for coastal hazard product/service(s) in development (e.g. rip current forecasting). • Workshop/visit(s) to SAWS to train

of the landscape of Devon and Cornwall consists of plateaux at varying levels. The plateaux surfaces reach the sea in cliffs, for which the area is famous, but with a few areas of sand dunes as well. Avonmouth Bristol Bristol Long Ashton Bath Saunton Sands Bude Camelford Bastreet Newquay St. Mawgan St

not been updated. The UKCP18 21 st Century time-mean sea level projections correspond to the IPCC AR5 “likely range”, as determined by their expert judgement. IPCC AR5 interpreted the 5 th to 95 th percentiles as having a “2/3 chance” of spanning the real-world sea level rise for any given RCP scenario

valid on the day it was printed. Revision History Date of this revision: 27 th May 2016 Date of Next revision: 1 st June 2017 Revision date 27 May 2016 First issue Summary of Changes Distribution This document has been distributed to Name Title Date of Issue Version Page 2 Product Description Low

and SRESA1B). • Global (60km) projections - a set of 28 climate futures at 60km grid resolution, showing how the 21 st Century climate may evolve under the highest emission scenario, RCP8.5. The assess the uncertainty across different models from different modelling centres as well as the parameter