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: an overview, Global Env. Change, 42, 153– 168, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009. © Crown copyright 2025, Met Office Page 11 of 12 OFFICIAL-SENSITIVE Met Office FitzRoy Road Exeter Devon EX1 3PB United Kingdom © Crown copyright 2025, Met Office Page 12 of 12
are weighted as follows Rotated EOF2, EOF4 and EOF 5 all 25% , NW Indian Ocean region 16.7%, Pacific region 8.3%. The pattern shown in figure A3 (rotated EOF 5) is the most important predictor contributing to over 50% of the forecast variance. Figure A1: 10 Figure A2: Figure A3: 11 12 Met Office: Tel: +44(0)1392 885680 FitzRoy Road, Exeter Fax: +44(0)1392 885681 Devon, EX1 3PB [email protected] UK www.metoffice.gov.uk
shown in figure A3 (rotated EOF 5) is the most important predictor contributing to over 50% of the forecast variance. Figure A1: 10 Figure A2: Figure A3: 11 12 Met Office: Tel: +44(0)1392 885680 FitzRoy Road, Exeter Fax: +44(0)1392 885681 Devon, EX1 3PB [email protected] UK www.metoffice.gov.uk
Henderson (Ross & Cromarty, 18mAMSL) 83.0mm on 18th at Trassey Slievenaman (Down, 220mAMSL) 14.7hr on 1st at Stornoway Airport (Western Isles, 15mAMSL) 68Kt 78mph on 5th at Berry Head (Devon, 58mAMSL) 85Kt 98mph on 18th at Cairngorm Summit (Inverness-shire, 1237mAMSL) No non-zero values. mAMSL
/f02cc6ddd92f 45b18b9ab6ab544df7d9 Riahi, K., and co-Authors, 2017: The shared socioeconomic pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: an overview, Global Env. Change, 42, 153– 168, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009. © Crown copyright 2025, Met Office Page 11 of 12 Met Office FitzRoy Road Exeter Devon EX1 3PB United Kingdom © Crown copyright 2025, Met Office Page 12 of 12
affecting the M48 Severn crossing and a section of the M4 in South Wales because of the high winds. Across parts of Devon and Cornwall there was disruption due to the strong winds, with the Taw road bridge in Barnstaple closed for a time and several hundred properties losing their electricity supply
and Yorkshire, leading to heavy downpours which resulted in some surface water issues and flooded roads across parts of West Yorkshire. Dry conditions in the south of the UK, as well as strong sunshine, likely contributed to a heathland fire near Exmouth, Devon on the 20th. Higher pressure in the latter half
), 168mAMSL) -2.2°C on 31st at Dalwhinnie No 2 (Inverness-shire, 351mAMSL) 75.7mm on 8th at White Barrow (Devon, 445mAMSL) 15.3hr on 7th at Dale Fort (Dyfed, 33mAMSL) 50Kt 58mph on 4th at Brizlee Wood (Northumberland, 250mAMSL) also on 5th at Wight: Needles Old Battery (Isle Of Wight, 80mAMSL) 72Kt 83mph
lane in the Blackwall tunnel was closed, as well as travel delays due to flooding around Chichester and Portsmouth. Thunderstorms, in south-western areas on the 12th and further north on the 13th, caused flooding in Plymouth, and the A377 in Devon was closed for a time by a tree blocking the road
), 168mAMSL) -2.2°C on 31st at Dalwhinnie No 2 (Inverness-shire, 351mAMSL) 75.7mm on 8th at White Barrow (Devon, 445mAMSL) 15.3hr on 7th at Dale Fort (Dyfed, 33mAMSL) 50Kt 58mph on 4th at Brizlee Wood (Northumberland, 250mAMSL) also on 5th at Wight: Needles Old Battery (Isle Of Wight, 80mAMSL) 72Kt 83mph
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