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. The greatest warming compared to 1961-1990 has been across the east Midlands and East Anglia where average annual temperatures have increased by more than 1°C, with the least warming around western coastal fringes and parts of Northern Ireland and Scotland. As well as increased temperatures, the UK has

rain to parts of England and Wales as we move through Thursday. This front will be the focus for some particularly heavy and thundery showers, especially along a line from South Wales through the Midlands and up towards the Humber. Warnings for heavy rain and flash flooding The risk of intense

in the picture above and the second image is the 5-channel snow image from three days later, showing how much less of the ground is covered in snow. There are enough gaps in the cloud to see that a significant amount of the snow across Wales and the Midlands has melted. November 2017: Cyclone Numa

events, including notable tornadoes (for example, the London tornado of 7 December 2006) and hailstorms (for example, the 'Ottery St Mary' thunderstorm of October 2008, and severe hailstorms on 28 June 2012 and 1 July 2015 in the Midlands and northern England, respectively). An overriding aim

North West England East Midlands Wales West Midlands East of England London South West England Channel Islands Figure 2 Map of administrative regions used in UKCP18 www.metoffice.gov.uk Pg 8 of 16 Source: Met Office © Crown Copyright 2019 Figure 3 Map of river basin regions used in UKCP18

by an Amber warning, stretching from Gloucester across the Midlands to the Wash and the Humber. “It’s likely that some parts of this area will be worse affected than others – it all depends on where, and if, the weather system responsible for the heavy rain stalls and pivots. However, within

, as the cumulative effect of several days’ successive rainfall began to be felt across Scotland especially, causing rising river levels. In the wake of the rain, with numerous flood warnings issued, landslips closed the West Coast Main Line between Lockerbie and Carstairs, with the Edinburgh to Aberdeen line

in a series from 1891, while the Midlands provisionally recorded its wettest 3-day period on record. Eastern Scotland also saw exceptional rainfall as part of the event, with 200mm of rain falling in some of the wettest areas. Met Office Senior Scientist Michael Kendon said: “Despite some warmth