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North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2007

and credibility of signals within the forecast is produced alongside the headline storm number prediction each season. Download the 2007 report. Background A tropical cyclone is the generic term for a low-pressure system over tropical or sub-tropical waters, with organised convection (i.e. thunderstorm

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Cooler and more unsettled weather on the way

High pressure and dry conditions dominate our weather this week, but a change to a colder and more unsettled period is likely over the weekend and into the start of next week.

of just 3.5mm of rain has fallen in the UK so far this month, which is 3% of the long-term average for the whole of the month. Of course, with over half of the month still to go, there remains time for these figures to change significantly. A change is on the way A marked change to more unsettled

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New global record ‘likely’ within five years

with sustained high levels of greenhouse gases. Uncertainties exist within the forecast, but most regions are expected to be warmer and forecast patterns suggest enhanced warming over land, especially northern parts of Europe, Asia and North America – extending the ongoing trend.” Current

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Storm Ciara named by Met Office

Named by the Met Office on Wednesday, the low-pressure system is currently developing in the North Atlantic and will track eastwards towards the UK and Ireland over the coming days.  Over the weekend wind gusts will widely reach 50-60 mph across many inland areas, with gusts of 80 mph or higher

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Weather warnings in place for unsettled weekend

 for the weekend,  the first one starting at 20:00 on Friday night and lasting through to 22:00 on Saturday night. The focus for this warning is over southern England and Wales, although some central areas are also covered.   This area is likely to see frequent lightning, thundery rain and continued

west-africa-climate-risk-report-appendix-final.pdf

spatial analysis zone are included in the following sections. 5 Zone 1: Senegambia Figure B1: Observations for Zone 1 of total monthly precipitation (a) and average daily mean (b), minimum (c) and maximum (d) temperature over the baseline period (1981-2010. Precipitation data from CHIRPS (Climate

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Dashboard highlights urgency of climate action

will continue to rise.” A section of the dashboard looking at global weather extremes up to 2018 shows how extreme weather is changing its character with warm nights becoming more frequent, daily rainfall more intense, and warm spells lasting longer.  The number of warm days averaged over the globe has

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Met Office delivers £56 billion of economic value to the UK

A new independent economic study has concluded that the Met Office will deliver benefits worth £56 billion to the UK economy over the next ten years.

, industry and citizens has never been greater.   Science Minister Lord Vallance said: “This report provides strong evidence that the Met Office can help drive economic growth and benefit the economy over the next decade.  “Whether through advance warnings of extreme weather or allowing better

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Storm Aurore Named by Météo-France

morning. However, the most impactful and widespread impacts associated with Aurore will be in its southern flank, which sits over northern France.    The heavy rain in England could see between 15mm and 25mm fall in the warning area, with up to 60mm possible in some places. This will be associated

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Changing conditions on the horizon, but for how long?

likley to see snow.  Paul Gundersen is a Met Office Chief Forecaster. He said: “Over the last week, the UK has been held in a northerly airflow bringing cold, sometimes Arctic air, to the UK. We will still have this northerly influence to our weather patterns until the weekend, but then the cold

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