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assumptions about the economic, social and physical changes to our environment that will influence climate change. Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) used in IPCC AR5, and Shared Socio- Economic Pathways (SSPs) used in IPCC AR6 are both methods for capturing those assumptions within a set

Climate modelling at the Met Office

many times, each time with a slightly different starting set-up, you can sample a broader range of the possible future outcomes. This is really important for understanding how climate change might influence the likelihood of extreme events – which are relatively rare by their nature. Running more

-averaged correlation of 0.6 (Figure 11). 3.3 Drivers of South Asian precipitation variability The WMO recommend that when selecting models for the SASCOF seasonal forecast, the selection process should also be based on their ability to simulate climate drivers that have an influence on the area

In the context of the National Security Strategy, we support and enable the protection, security, independence and interests of the UK and its key allies at home and overseas. This is made possible by exploiting superior meteorological, oceanographic and climate science understanding to deliver

rise varies from place to place and increases in higher emissions scenarios. Emissions scenarios explained To predict the severity of climate change and therefore future sea-level rise, we make assumptions about economic, social, and environmental changes that influence climate change. Each

to climate change, a graph from Carbon Brief HOT POETS - Elvis McGonagall, Extreme Weather Report, written for the Met Office, a film from Tongue Fu UK and Global extreme events – Heavy rainfall and floods, an infographic from the Met Office What if you had the power to change the weather? Which

South West England: climate The counties included in this area are Cornwall, Devon and Somerset together with the four administrative areas around Bristol (formerly Avon) and the Isles of Scilly. Much of the landscape of Devon and Cornwall consists of plateaux at varying levels. The plateaux

weather and climate science and services to reduce the risk from weather and climate. Developing a “seamless” weather and climate modelling system requires the partnership to: • Carry out world leading weather and climate science and translate this into a prediction system; • Deliver technological

for Winter (DJF) and Summer (JJA) Methods � Domain selection: 3 main influences-Arctic, Pacific and Atlantic air masses; avoiding the Rocky mountains to be in the western edge of the domain (Fig 1) � Validation data set: monthly observations 50X50 km 1. CRU (Climate Research Units)—temp, precip 2. UOD

organisations, climate scientists and civil society stakeholders, among others. Agenda The side event was organised and delivered jointly by WISER (ACPC and the Met Office). The objective of the session was to highlight WISER’s approaches to developing climate services and policy influencing