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Winter to tighten its grip – February 2021

: “Into the weekend snow will continue across much of Scotland, and is likely to increasingly fall to low levels before beginning to move south into northern and eastern England. Strong winds “We are likely to see some very large accumulations across higher parts of Scotland especially, with strong winds leading

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Amber warning for rain issued

to react to anything that might happen.  “If you encounter any floods be very conscious of not driving through water that is too deep as this could very easily lead to catastrophic damage. Try to assess the depth by looking at the kerb or road signs and, if you decide it’s safe to go through, drive

Microsoft Word - 2019_010_october_rainfall.docx

% or more of the monthly average rainfall. Impacts The heavy rain, falling on already very wet ground, led to flooding disruption across Wales, Shropshire, Staffordshire and Manchester. A number of roads were blocked by flooding – including the A555 Manchester Airpoort relief road. Rail services were

uk_monthly_climate_summary_autumn_2019.pdf

was very wet over most of the UK, and this unsettled theme persisted for most of October and November. The jet stream regularly tracked further south than usual, meaning that much of England and Wales were wetter and duller than average for October and November, but parts of Scotland and Northern

met-office_infographic_jan-18-snowice.pdf

paths Cancelled a planned activity Salted paths/ drive And did you take any action for anyone else? 80% No 20% Yes Overall how useful would you have said this severe weather warning was? 66% Very useful 29% Fairly useful 2% Not very useful 2% Not at all useful Didn’t know 5% LOW IMPORTANCE HIGH Key: (xxx) = mean performance 3% Left work early Research conducted and infographic designed by djsresearch.co.uk

Positive impacts of ensemble forecasts

of the developing storm in different members of the ECMWF ensemble forecast. This indicated a very high confidence that the storm would track over northern Britain during the evening of 31 December. Further analysis also showed a high probability of very strong winds associated with this storm

What is an ensemble forecast?

, very small errors in its initial state can lead to large errors in the forecast. This means that we can never create a perfect forecast system because we can never observe every detail of the atmosphere's initial state. Tiny errors in the initial state will be amplified, so there is always a limit

Dr Yongming Tang

or Technical achievement category for this work.  During this period at JCMM, Yongming also developed a very high resolution and very efficient fog prediction model, and studied the impact of coastal ocean SST on the prediction of sea fog and sea breezes. In 2011 Yongming took a secondment from

Towyn Floods 26 February 1990

and east and were often of hail with some thunder in places too. Apart from the far north of Scotland it was a windy night everywhere and gales or severe gales were very widespread. During the day gales affected all areas and gusts in excess of 70 mph were very common. Northern England had some

News

Amber warnings for snow

This week will be another very cold week across the UK, and snowy at times in many areas.

in on bitterly cold easterly winds. These very cold conditions are expected to last through the week as very cold air from northern Scandinavia and the far northwest of Russia crosses the UK and the easterly winds bring a significant wind chill making it feel several degrees colder than thermometers show

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