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  • Heavy Rainfall 8 June 1957

    and most frequent across eastern areas. Showers or longer spells of rain continued into the evening across much of the country. Winds were generally light and from the southwest with temperatures about average for the time of year. Significant weather event A very intense fall of rain, accompanied

  • Microsoft Word - 2019_010_october_rainfall.docx

    % or more of the monthly average rainfall. Impacts The heavy rain, falling on already very wet ground, led to flooding disruption across Wales, Shropshire, Staffordshire and Manchester. A number of roads were blocked by flooding – including the A555 Manchester Airpoort relief road. Rail services were

  • Latest heatwave peaks with 38.1°C recorded and rain on the horizon in the south

    Forecaster, Steven Keates, said: “Many people are desperate for some rain to alleviate the impacts of the prolonged dry spell. There is a chance of some thunderstorms developing in central and southeastern parts of England later on Friday into Saturday, however these are very uncertain. “A front

  • There's a heatwave on the way

    mid-week.    Chief Meteorologist, Frank Saunders said, “As warmer air from the continent moves towards the UK from Wednesday, temperatures will climb into the mid to high 20s quite widely, even in parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland. By this stage, some places in England and Wales will very

  • What is an ensemble forecast?

    , very small errors in its initial state can lead to large errors in the forecast. This means that we can never create a perfect forecast system because we can never observe every detail of the atmosphere's initial state. Tiny errors in the initial state will be amplified, so there is always a limit

  • Positive impacts of ensemble forecasts

    of the developing storm in different members of the ECMWF ensemble forecast. This indicated a very high confidence that the storm would track over northern Britain during the evening of 31 December. Further analysis also showed a high probability of very strong winds associated with this storm

  • 15degrees_webinar_summarypdf

    for the first time a pathway that shows emissions peaking this decade due to policies put in place because of the energy security crisis globally. 2022 Met Office COP27 webinar However, while some progress is clearly being made, it is very limited progress. Every fraction of a degree counts towards

  • 1.5degrees_webinar_summary.pdf

    for the first time a pathway that shows emissions peaking this decade due to policies put in place because of the energy security crisis globally. 2022 Met Office COP27 webinar However, while some progress is clearly being made, it is very limited progress. Every fraction of a degree counts towards

  • Briefing on Arctic and Antarctic sea ice - July 2026

    a near-average rate of ice retreat, but this was dominated by rapid retreat in the Atlantic seas, with very limited ice retreat in the rest of the Arctic Ocean June was exceptionally stormy over the Arctic Ocean. Persistent southerly winds produced warm temperatures in the Atlantic sector, but elsewhere

  • uk_monthly_climate_summary_201802pdf

    in the second week. A settled spell followed, then from the 26th a very cold easterly flow brought increasingly widespread snow and some notably low daytime temperatures for the end of February. It was a generally sunny month, especially in the west and south. The mean temperature for February

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