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that within these mean changes cold, dry winters and wet summers like 2012 are still possible but with declining likelihood. Research into the likelihood of extreme seasons under the two scenarios indicate that by the 2040s a summer as hot as the 2003 European heatwave will be very common under both
and the Met Office predicts there could be an increased water requirement for maize irrigation by the middle of the century which will increase the risk of extreme water shortages in the NFR (Xu et al. 2019). These water shortages are projected to occur mid-season, an important developmental time
The seasons are changing and so is the weather, with wind and rain for much of the UK in the coming days.
and for anyone looking for rain in the forecast there is good news. High pressure - which we have become quite accustomed to over the summer - will stay with us for a little longer, but by the weekend conditions will be changing as low-pressure will take the lead for several days, bringing wet and windy
Preliminary statistics show that the 2016/17 winter has been dry and mild compared to the long-term average. Meanwhile, early February statistics show a milder than average month to end the season.
on record for Scotland and the fifth mildest winter for Northern Ireland. The UK as a whole has seen the ninth mildest winter on record. Interestingly the winters of 2013/14 and 2015/16 were both milder than this winter; however the key difference is that those winters were also very wet and often
began with a mix of rain and wintry showers, particularly affecting northern and western regions. Storm Darragh, the fourth named storm of the season, brought significant disruption from the 6th to the 8th, with heavy rain and severe gales, especially in coastal areas of Wales and southwest England
began with a mix of rain and wintry showers, particularly affecting northern and western regions. Storm Darragh, the fourth named storm of the season, brought significant disruption from the 6th to the 8th, with heavy rain and severe gales, especially in coastal areas of Wales and southwest England
during the last week of the month was the weather truly unsettled, a period which included the first named storm of the season. The mean temperature was provisionally 0.5 °C above the 1981-2010 long-term average, with the north being rather milder but the south-east being near or just below average
by disruption to energy supply, to transport and to food supply. Decisions on a range of timescales We don’t just care about the weather tomorrow, but we care about the weather next season, and the weather further into the future. We know climate change will bring hotter drier summers, and warmer wetter
the infamous snowy / windy / cold / sunny winter of 2016-17? I just hoped it wouldn’t be another wet winter. Winter 2015-16 was the second wettest on record; 2013-14 was the wettest in a series extending back to 1910. Those seasons were dominated by a powerful jet stream over the Atlantic, spawning
update later under the MARG item. 4 FY17/18 Deliverables and Performance 4.1 Met Office Annual Report DR provided the group with a run through of the main challenges and achievements from the last financial year. A summary of the weather experienced during the seasons noted that the summer was relatively
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