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are expected to become more common. By 2050, every other summer may be as hot as the record breaking summer of 2018. Sea level will continue to rise in the 21 st century even if greenhouse gas emissions are reduced rapidly. Page 2 of 7 NEWCASTLE CLIMATE PACK SCIENCE EXPLAINED PROJECTIONS USED IN THE CITY PACK

will continue to rise in the 21 st century even if greenhouse gas emissions are reduced rapidly. Page 2 of 7 WEST MIDLANDS CLIMATE PACK SCIENCE EXPLAINED PROJECTIONS USED IN THE CITY PACK The City Pack uses the UK Climate Projections (UKCP) Probabilistic Projections at 25 km resolution. HIGH EMISSIONS

breaking summer of 2018. Sea level will continue to rise in the 21 st century even if greenhouse gas emissions are reduced rapidly. Page 2 of 7 WARWICK AND SOUTHAM SCIENCE EXPLAINED PROJECTIONS USED IN THE CITY PACK The City Pack uses the UK Climate Projections (UKCP) Probabilistic Projections at 25

. Hot summers are expected to become more common. By 2050, every other summer may be as hot as the record breaking summer of 2018. Sea level will continue to rise in the 21 st century even if greenhouse gas emissions are reduced rapidly. Page 2 of 7 NEWRY CLIMATE PACK SCIENCE EXPLAINED PROJECTIONS USED

is for drier summers in the future, there may be increases in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Hot summers are expected to become more common. By 2050, every other summer may be as hot as the record breaking summer of 2018. Sea level will continue to rise in the 21 st century even

are expected to become more common. By 2050, every other summer may be as hot as the record breaking summer of 2018. Sea level will continue to rise in the 21 st century even if greenhouse gas emissions are reduced rapidly. Page 2 of 7 SHEFFIELD CLIMATE PACK SCIENCE EXPLAINED PROJECTIONS USED

in the intensity of heavy summer rainfall events. Hot summers are expected to become more common. By 2050, every other summer may be as hot as the record breaking summer of 2018. Sea level will continue to rise in the 21 st century even if greenhouse gas emissions are reduced rapidly. Page 2 of 7 KIRKLEES

Centre, Exeter, UK PART 1. FORECAST Summary There are elevated probabilities for below average rainfall for the forthcoming October- December season. 1.1 Whole Region Statistical and dynamical forecasts of October-November-December (OND) rainfall for the East Africa region, defined as 5 o N-15 o S, 30

-15 o S, 30 o E to Indian Ocean Coast, are presented in Figure 1.1. The statistical forecast is produced by discriminant analysis using indices of worldwide Sea Surface Temperature (SST) as predictors. The dynamical forecast is produced using the Met Office GloSea5 dynamical seasonal prediction

) on the 15th. Weather impacts On the 9th a thunderstorm warning was issued for some southern areas, but the only impact reported was localised flooding in Ottery St Mary, Devon. The weather was then more settled for the next two weeks. There were numerous warnings and impacts during a much more