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(e.g. with warming temperatures over this period). The left-hand panel shows information relating to the coming month, the right-hand panel shows information relating to the coming 3-month period. Each coloured point (purple or blue) represents one of the ensemble member predictions - all

Geospatial Centre for the Ministry of Defence. Lead forecaster for NATO providing 24/7/365 support for planning and operations. Aviation - £12.5bn* Safe operations and fuel savings from efficient use of prevailing winds for 35,000 European flights per day and over 45% of flights globally per year

in the United States; for the eighth year in a row there were no major hurricane landfalls. In contrast, Mexico was hit by eight storms: three from the Atlantic basin and five from the eastern North Pacific (NOAA 2013). Monthly updated forecasts issued by the Met Office over the period April to September

, the Midlands and southern England, leading to reports of lightning damage to the rail electricity supply in Wiltshire and damage to homes and power supply in Sussex. Some areas in Devon and Somerset saw travel disruption due to surface water flooding and fallen trees. Further scattered heavy downpours over

Future climate of Ethiopia from PRECIS Regional Climate Model Experimental Design Dawit Abebe Ethiopia November 2010 1 PRECIS Regional Climate Model Experimental Design over Ethiopia 1. Background 1.1 Rainfall Regimes in Ethiopia The rainfall regime in Ethiopia is characterised as uni-modal and bi

England, which saw 129% of the average rainfall. Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland were slightly drier than average. The wet start to the month saw counties including Bristol, Buckinghamshire, and Tyne and Wear all experience over 100% of their monthly rainfall by mid-month. Sunshine duration

. The PERCHANCE (Process Evaluation of Regional Chinese Hydrological and Atmospheric Natural Climate Extremes) study within the CSSP China project found that tropical cyclones make a considerably greater contribution to the total amount of rainfall over Southern China, and to rainfall extremes, than

-1990. This climatology period is chosen as it is the WMO standard and widely used in regional climate outlook forums including PRESASS. The five quintile categories are equiprobable over the 1961-1990 climatology period and are referred to as ‘very dry’, ‘dry’, ‘average’, ‘wet’ and ‘very wet’. Thus

continue to thrive as our climate changes. Near-surface air temperature is recorded using measurement stations in situ, and we don't have measurement stations everywhere. So, how do we get information about past daily variations in surface air temperature over the whole Earth? We can’t directly use

and the 1981-2010 average. Data are from HadISST1.2. Melt season review After a second exceptionally warm winter in succession for the Arctic, which saw the setting of a new record low maximum extent, sea ice thickness is likely to have been very low over the Arctic Ocean at the start of the melt season