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respectively. Despite recent thundery downpours in some parts of the UK, rainfall totals are fairly unremarkable for this point in the month across the UK, with most regions recording close to the average. The complexity of thundery weather systems mean that only very small areas will see the peak

Meteorologist Tony Wardle, said: “Conditions will turn very unsettled after Christmas day, with a large area of low pressure sweeping across the UK from Boxing Day. Very strong winds will impact much of England and Wales, with particularly strong gusts on south west facing coasts. “Heavy rain will also move

outbreaks of rain for many western and northern areas. South-east England is likely to stay mostly dry. Temperatures will be mild or very mild away from the far north, with maxima of 21-23°C likely east of Welsh high ground, and isolated 24°C possible in eastern England. Outlook for Friday Friday sees

retreat back to the coast during the morning. While some eastern coastal areas may remain rather cloudy throughout the day, the rest of the UK can expect dry and sunny conditions. Temperatures will rise again, with very warm or even hot conditions in the west. The east will see near-normal to warm

through the morning and into the afternoon. Some of these may become locally moderate, and very isolated heavy downpours are possible later in the day. Elsewhere across the UK, it will be a dry day with variable cloud and bright or sunny spells. Read more on Apple News: Met Office 10-day trend: Stormy

through the morning and into the afternoon. Some of these may become locally moderate, and very isolated heavy downpours are possible later in the day. Elsewhere across the UK, it will be a dry day with variable cloud and bright or sunny spells. READ MORE: Met Office 10-day trend: Stormy conditions

June 2021 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1981-2010. The first half of June was largely dry and warm, though less settled over Scotland towards mid-month. The second half saw temperatures broadly nearer to average, with some days very cool for the time of year

January February Notes: The percentiles shown in the map indicate a ranking of rainfall, with the 0th percentile being the driest and the 100th percentile being the wettest in the 1981-2010 climatology. Green and dark green shading represent values above the 80th (Wet) and 90th (Very Wet) percentile

, but less than 0.5°C above in the south-west. Rainfall was 114% of average, but was very variable across the country, with below-average rainfall over most of Wales and the south-west, but more than twice the normal amount from Manchester to Leicestershire. Sunshine was 100% of average, and amounts

these aspects can affect the bias and/or the variance © Crown Copyright 2025 Met Office “ensemble” is an “overloaded class” Perturbed parameter ensembles (PPE) constrain NWP ensembles actively inflate or expand Ensembles at different time scales are very different “beasts” © Crown Copyright 2025 Met Office