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in percentages. The outlook uses 3 categories, linked to previous observed UK conditions, for possible UK temperature, precipitation and wind speed in the coming season: COLD, NEAR AVERAGE and MILD for temperature WET, NEAR AVERAGE and DRY for precipitation CALM, NEAR AVERAGE and WINDY for wind speed

is not sufficient to assess model projections. Direct investigation of the mechanisms for future precipitation change is also important, and existing efforts in this area have generated valuable hypothesis about the potential drivers of wet and dry responses [e.g., Biasutti et al., 2008, 2009; Monerie et al

Office festival forecast: Mixed conditions for late July festivals Author: Press Office 28 July 2025 As festival season continues across the UK, the latest Met Office forecast is here to help festivalgoers prepare for the week ahead. With a number of major events kicking off from Thursday 31 July

. There was plenty of settled weather, with only limited amounts of rainfall, especially in the south. Only during the last week of the month was the weather truly unsettled, a period which included the first named storm of the season. The mean temperature was provisionally 0.5 °C above the 1981-2010 long-term

in these seasons. In summer, convection caused by solar surface heating sometimes forms shower clouds and a large proportion of rain falls from showers and thunderstorms then. The additional heat from the London urban area can encourage such shower development in summer. A further factor that greatly affects

that within these mean changes cold, dry winters and wet summers like 2012 are still possible but with declining likelihood. Research into the likelihood of extreme seasons under the two scenarios indicate that by the 2040s a summer as hot as the 2003 European heatwave will be very common under both

pressure retuning, bringing wetter and windier conditions from the west ☔ pic.twitter.com/NTdjOFFfEm — Met Office (@metoffice) October 14, 2025 Meteorologists use the concept of planetary-scale “waves” in the jet stream to describe the meandering path of high and low-pressure systems around the globe

the largest temperature change over a single day ever recorded in the United States. READ MORE: What role does convection play in weather? In the UK, foehn events are most commonly observed in the Scottish Highlands. Moist westerly winds from the Atlantic are forced over the mountains, bringing wet

as usual. June 2025 was exceptionally warm. That warmth has continued into July, with mean temperatures placing this summer so far in the top 5% of all summers on record. Night-time temperatures have been especially notable, exceeding previous records for this stage of the season. By the end of the recent

days. Saturday and Sunday are likely to be the coldest pair of days so far this season, not unusual for the time of year but a clear step change nonetheless. Expect a chilly start on Saturday, with some spots down in the mid to low single figures, and a cold feel in the wind throughout the day