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for extreme weather and seasonal events by using WCIS that put the decision needs of users at the centre of the process. WISER has also delivered £207.5 million in economic benefits, demonstrating the value of using WCIS in the decisions different societal actors have made with WISER support

-production between the humanitarian and meteorological community in support of IDP/refugee communities. 2. Strengthened technical capacity of National Meteorology and Hydrology Services (NMHS) and Regional Climate Centres (RCCs) to deliver enhanced WCIS Page 9 of 23 OFFICAL Strengthening designated

. • NINO3.4 value as of 8 December 2019 is +0.4 °C, continuing within ENSOneutral bounds. The general consensus amongst models is for the central tropical Pacific (NINO3.4) to remain neutral through to at least March 2020. • An ENSO-neutral state means that the El Niño–Southern Oscillation has little

% chance). Therefore, it seems likely that La Niña will remain a dominant driver of global weather patterns over the next few months at least, more especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g., East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood

projects such as: the increased forecasting capacity acquired through WISER Support to Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) Climate Prediction and Application Centre (ICPAC) (W2-SIP), translation of forecasts into local languages in Uganda, Impact Based Early Warning System in Rwanda

in terms of climate variables or statistics required, the most useful time and spatial scales, and presentation/ communication of the final climate services product. These 2 processes require the least amount of investment in time and resources but can result in the stakeholders feeling undervalued

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral and is most likely to remain so for at least the next three months. Later this year, there is small chance of La Niña redeveloping. However, predictions made at this time of year have lower skill than at other times and therefore the confidence

-Normal Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa: February to November Overview 4 Likely Likely Much More Likely Global Outlook - Temperature Outlook: 3-Month Outlook June to August - Temperature The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is now neutral as is expected to remain so for at least the next

at least, especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g. East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here https

Information Centre (NCIC) and the International Climate Services (ICS) team. Dan Hollis (NCIC), who currently maintains the software, drove forward the required coding. Tim Mitchell (ICS) led the activity, liaised with PMD, provided feedback for the coding work, and wrote the user guide. The workshop