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• mwr_2024_06_for_print.pdf

  in the first two weeks roughly 2°C below average. The cool start to the month was due to northerly and northwesterly winds bringing cold Arctic air across the UK. A low pressure centre developed over Scandinavia in the second week of June, pushing further cold air from the north across the UK. Frontal

• Microsoft Word - PWSCG Minutes 17-10-18 Final 1.0

  provided the group with an update on Met Office work on nowcasting. This work is to deliver two milestones within the CSA: Milestone 1.1: May 2018 Establish a nowcast capability within the Operations Centre for trial use during Summer 2018 and identify initial internal user requirements for the full

• FRTR_614_2016P

  restrictions in coastal waters; such as in the Moray Firth and Firth of Forth during prevailing westerly wind conditions. The Pentland Firth is also resolved by multiple cells in the model, although the addition of current information would be needed in order to properly represent wave growth and dissipation

• ukcp_local_report_2023.pdf

  enhanced spatial detail or information on changes in extreme weather at local and hourly timescales. However, they are based on a single model – the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model – and lack information from other international climate models. Thus, they sample a narrower uncertainty range

• asia-climate-outlook---june-2025.pdf

  Outlook: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Both oceanic and atmospheric indicators are consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions. ENSO-neutral is expected to prevail for at least the next three months. Longer term, the likelihood of La Niña developing increases during the northern hemisphere autumn

• PowerPoint Presentation

  hurricanes, 3 were classified as major hurricanes, with winds of at least 111mph. 3-Month Outlook November to January - Rainfall Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: July

• asia-climate-outlook---june-2025pdf

  Outlook: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Both oceanic and atmospheric indicators are consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions. ENSO-neutral is expected to prevail for at least the next three months. Longer term, the likelihood of La Niña developing increases during the northern hemisphere autumn

• global-climate-outlook---june-2025.pdf

  Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: March to December Overview 6 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Both oceanic and atmospheric indicators are consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions. ENSO-neutral is expected to prevail for at least the next

• PowerPoint Presentation

  to remain in a neutral phase, at least through the Northern Hemisphere spring. With ENSO-neutral conditions likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring and early summer, predictability on seasonal timescales is expected to be lower than in recent years when ENSO has been active

• PowerPoint Presentation

  , largely due to observed cooling in the tropical ​Pacific. La Niña will remain a dominant driver of global weather patterns over the next few months at least, more especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g., East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase