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  • Our changing weather patterns: a tale of abrupt transitions

    , with a major change from the end of this week and beyond as very cold air from Scandinavia floods south into the UK. We can project these extremes onto large-scale weather patterns: with high pressure towards Greenland; low pressure over Scandinavia; and low pressure occasionally stretching across the UK

  • What’s the pollen forecast this year?

    . After the wettest March in over 40 years for England and Wales, some are now wondering what the weather we’ve seen so far could mean for the release of pollen this year, with ‘very high’ forecasts for tree pollen already for some areas of the UK. What’s the pollen outlook? The majority of hay fever

  • What do we mean by a climate tipping point?

    or the Amazon rainforest. The resulting socio-economic impacts could be very large, and crossing of one tipping point may then make others more likely to be crossed. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR6 Synthesis Report, published in March 2023, highlights that the likelihood

  • 10-day trend: Brief periods of mild, drier weather but rain on the way

    approach Christmas. Here’s a detailed look at what to expect, based on the latest 10-day forecast. A very active jet stream driving unsettled weather The dominant feature influencing the UK’s weather is a notably active jet stream stretching across the Atlantic. This powerful ribbon of wind is being

  • Briefing on Arctic & Antarctic sea ice - August 2026

    . Time series of July Arctic sea ice extent according to the OSI SAF Sea Ice Index (Lavergne et al., 2023), with 1981-2010 average and 1979-2024 linear trend indicated. July was very stormy and unsettled over the Arctic Ocean (Figure 4a), much like the previous month. However, unlike in June many

  • Week ahead: Dry, sunny and increasingly hot weather

    and infrastructure is also possible, alongside a heightened risk of heat exhaustion, dehydration and sunburn. The warmth will extend much further north as well, with high 20s possible across parts of Scotland and temperatures around 26°C or 27°C in Northern Ireland. Although very hot, the air is not expected

  • Week Ahead Weather: Heatwave conditions expand as temperatures build across the UK

    and generally cooler weather, while southern areas enjoy strong sunshine and very warm temperatures under the influence of high pressure. The jet stream is currently helping to steer these weather systems across the north, with some wet weather affecting parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland

  • UK May and spring temperature record provisionally broken for second day in a row

    above, average for the time of year for the whole of the UK. Met Office Chief Forecaster Andy Page said: “The exceptional late-spring heat is set to continue for much of this week. “Last night provisionally recorded the warmest May night on record, and we’re likely to see further very warm nights

  • New project to innovate severe weather warnings in Southern Africa

    : “The Southern African region is particularly prone to severe weather events that occur over very short timescales. Making predictions in the very short term fulfils one of the key societal needs for accurate warnings of adverse weather events, such as heavy rain and flooding in order for the protection of life

  • Microsoft Word - WISER Letter Template.docx

    . “Weather and climate issues are very dynamic, getting clear information is likely to tackle a dozen issues of which can help both us (MALF) and the farmers in the rural areas,” he said. Musa Habili, a Regional Officer In Charge of Tanzania Shipping Agencies Corporation said the MHEWS project had

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