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Rain to reign as low-pressure dominates the forecast

The seasons are changing and so is the weather, with wind and rain for much of the UK in the coming days.

and for anyone looking for rain in the forecast there is good news. High pressure - which we have become quite accustomed to over the summer - will stay with us for a little longer, but by the weekend conditions will be changing as low-pressure will take the lead for several days, bringing wet and windy

News

Mild February marks the end of a dry Winter

Preliminary statistics show that the 2016/17 winter has been dry and mild compared to the long-term average. Meanwhile, early February statistics show a milder than average month to end the season.

on record for Scotland and the fifth mildest winter for Northern Ireland. The UK as a whole has seen the ninth mildest winter on record. Interestingly the winters of 2013/14 and 2015/16 were both milder than this winter; however the key difference is that those winters were also very wet and often

A look back on Storm Éowyn

the possibility of wet and windy weather in the second half of the week commencing 20 January, which obviously came to pass. As is usually the case, forecast confidence increased closer to the time, which resulted in further Met Office communications, the naming of the system and ultimately

Microsoft Word - 2025_02_storm_eowyn.docx

Storm Éowyn, 24 January 2025 Storm Éowyn, the fifth storm of the 2024/2025 season so far, hit the UK in late January. Northern Ireland and Scotland’s Central Belt experienced the brunt of this storm with winds gusting widely at well over 70Kt (81mph), and in places over 80Kt (92mph). The highest

wiser-ewsa-highlights-13-nov-2024-compressed.pdf

centres in Mozambique and South Africa. Southern Africa’s first nowcasting testbed in January–February ‘24 The two-week event in the middle of the rainy season brought together forecasters, meteorologists, user engagement specialists, representatives of disaster and disability organisations and community

ukcp18-factsheet-local-2.2km.pdf

changes to our weather for extreme events at local and hourly scales. For example, for rainfall: In the RCM: In the CPM: it rains much more frequently, leading to an excessive occurrence of wet days it does not rain as frequently, in better agreement with observations, although when it does, it does so

ukcp-probabilistic-extremes-report-september-2020.pdf

and Schär, 2017), cold, hot, dry or wet seasonal extremes (e.g. Sexton and Harris, 2015) or multi-season droughts (e.g. Burke and Brown, 2010), can also be obtained. In UKCP, users can obtain projections of future extremes for the UK or other regions from UK Global (a set of 28 climate model simulations

minutes_pwscg_27_apr_16_final.pdf

and Met Eireann to review this first season of storm naming by the end of June. The views expressed by this group in relation to warnings were similar to others in that crucial elements to being successfully able to prepare and mobilise resources depend on the lead time into an event. This issue of timing

aspire-implementation-plan.pdf

early on in the formation of the service development teams that all users were feeding back that seasonal outlooks in East Africa were issued too late to support meaningful action and in addition, after the outlook had been issued, monthly updates of the progress of the season were required. Through

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