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to find out about other products & services that we offer, please contact us: [email protected] Call our 24hr Customer Centre: 01392 885680 Visit us at: www.metoffice.gov.uk/construction 10 | Weather Services for Building and Project Managers Station-based Planning Averages (with daytime

December 15 -4.1 8 9.4 53 20 Contact Us If you have any queries about your report, or you would like to find out about other products & services that we offer, please contact us: [email protected] Call our 24hr Customer Centre: 01392 885680 Visit us at: www.metoffice.gov.uk/construction 10

-forecast information for 2005, 2006 and 2007......................... 17 Prepared by Richard Graham, Manager Climate Products, Met Office Hadley Centre Reviewed by Mike Davey, Anca Brookshaw, Matt Huddleston and Julian Heming Scientific contributors include Bernd Becker and Joanne Camp and other Met

that light rain was typically forecast to be within 11km of the observation, whereas for heavy rain, the location accuracy was at least 160km. The accuracy of the Met Office Global Model is higher, or similar, to models from other National Weather Centres. It was found that the number of new cholera cases

contact the Customer Centre on: Tel: 0370 900 0100 Fax: 0370 900 5050 Email: [email protected] If you are outside the UK: Tel: +44 330 135 0000 Fax: +44 330 135 0050 Introduction The counties included in this area are Cornwall, Devon and Somerset together with the Isles of Scilly. Much

of SE and NW winds) reflects its situation on the Bristol Channel, aligned NE-SW. East or north east winds can also be strong if depressions pass along the English Channel. Spring time also tends to have a maximum of winds from the north east. Periods of very light or calm winds with no preferred

Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3QY b Smith School for Enterprise and the Environment, University ofOxford,Oxford,OX12BQ,UK. c Oxford e-Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3QG d Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK e Atmospheric, Oceanic

) were compared with the baseline period to identify climate change trends. These were considered in the light of current exposure and vulnerabilities to identify potential future climate risks. Key findings from the climate risk analysis by zone and by sector are shown on the poster overleaf

: deficit case • Model convection is inhibited on places of light surface winds (small exchange coefficient c H ). Emergence of convection bias • Moisture budget shows a large convection increment in lower boundary layer (bl), which is balanced mainly by large bl increment , mainly surface fluxes

simulations from CMIP5 used in the climate data analysis, from https://pcmdi.llnl.gov/mips/cmip5/availability.html. Modelling Model Institution Centre BCC BCC-CSM1-1-m Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration CSIRO-BOM ACCESS1-0 CSIRO (Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial ACCESS1-3