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showers in from the North Sea. Examples include 12 January 1987 when persistent heavy showers resulted in over 35 cm of level snow either side of the Thames estuary and 52 cm at East Malling, Kent with travel disruption, and early March 2005 when dri s of up 30 cm occurred over the Downs in Kent

., Henrys, P.A., Hemming, D., Bell, J.R., Botham, M.S., Burthe, S., Helaouet, P., Johns, D.G., Jones, I.D., Leech, D.I., Mackay, E.B., Massimino, D., Atkinson, S., Bacon, P.J., Brereton, T.M., Carvalho, L., Clutton-Brock, T.H., Duck, C., Edwards, M., Malcolm Elliot, J., Hall, S.J.G., Harrington, R

and what are the risks to output going forward and service levels. DH enquired about Met Office capability during this time especially if there is a severe weather event(s). 6. Met Office update DR informed the group that the Met Office transition to remote working had gone smoothly. It has been going

in inland Devon. On 8/9 January 1982 conditions were especially severe in the Bristol area where dri s were locally 1 m deep. Another event, this time from convective showers, on 12 January 1987 produced snow depths of 35 cm (Falmouth), 39 cm (Penzance) and even 23 cm on the Scillies. Also, persistent

of tropical storm frequency using a multi-model ensemble. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor Soc., 132, 647–666. © Crown copyright 2009 - 10 – Vitart, F., M. R. Huddleston, M. Déqué, D. Peake, T. N. Palmer, T. N. Stockdale, M. K. Davey, S. Ineson, and A. Weisheimer (2007). Dynamically-based seasonal forecasts

). The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications. Science, 293, 474–479. Jarvinen, B. R., Neumann, C. J., Davis, M. A. S. (1984). A tropical cyclone data tape for the North Atlantic Basin, 1886–1983: Contents, limitations, and uses. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NHC 22, Coral Gables

and predicted for 2023 relative to the preceding year, vs. the Niño3.4 index for April of the preceding year to March of the current year. The Niño3.4 index is the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly in region 5°N to 5°S and 170°W to 120°W in the Pacific Ocean, de-trended to remove the effect

: Richardson, K., Doherty, A., Osborne, R., Mayhew, L., Lewis, K., Jobbins, G., Fox, C., Griffith, H. and El Taraboulsi-McCarthy, S. (2021) Climate Risk Report for the Middle East and North Africa region: Supplementary Document: Appendices, Met Office, ODI, FCDO. age 0 of 22 Appendix A: Methods