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://elearning.metoffice.gov.uk For more information about how SWEEP can help enhance your national resilience or to discuss your requirements with a member of the International Development team please email [email protected] Met Office FitzRoy Road, Exeter Devon, EX1 3PB United Kingdom Tel: 0870 900 0100 Email

to a reliable ensemble with good Brier Score resolution in time and space • A higher model resolution is often better than more ensemble members • CRPS remains a good overview metric for evaluation purposes Met Office FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB United Kingdom Tel: +44 330 135 0000 Fax: +44 330 135 0050 Email: [email protected] © Crown copyright | Met Office and the Met Office logo are registered trademarks

across parts of southeast Wales and parts of Devon and Cornwall too. We have Met Office yellow warnings in place. “There'll be a bit of that rain getting to eastern England, but again, much of East Anglia and the southeast staying dry and largely dry conditions for a good part of Scotland and Northern

just see a more persistent band of ranges pushing through for a short time. Showers also across the southwest of England. these potentially heavy for Devon and Cornwall and maybe just fringing into the very far south of Wales as well. Perhaps the odd rumble of thunder once again, but skies

Climate Projections (UKCP) indicate that on average, summers will become hotter. Met Office UKCP Local projections indicate that hot spells will become more frequent in our future climate, particularly over the south-east of the UK, with temperatures projected to rise in all seasons. Heavy rainfall

increase may not seem significant, the resulting increase in the severity of extreme heat events has widespread and significant impacts.   Such hotter, drier weather has increased the scale, intensity, and frequency of destructive wildfires in many regions worldwide. Wildfires significantly impact

in the Great North Run were stranded after the event due to major disruption to the transport network, with the South Shields Metro station closed while water was cleared from the tracks. Weather data The hot, sunny weather was due to the jet stream shifting to the north, allowing high pressure

and warnings. "Finally, it’s worth also noting that conditions could briefly turn very warm, or even hot, across parts of the south and east, with a chance of temperatures into the high 20s of Celsius for some, but very much dependent on cloud breaks.” You can find the latest forecast on our website

in and around Kingsbridge, south Devon as a band of locally torrential thundery rain moved through during the morning. The weekend of the 18th/19th saw further thundery activity across parts of southern and eastern England as a cold front displaced an incursion of very warm air. Lightning strikes

, with local hail and thunder across south and southeast England. It was a windy day with gales in places. Maximum gusts included 69 knots at the Isle of Portland (Dorset), 67 knots at Alderney (Channel Islands), 63 knots at Brixham (Devon) and 62 knots at Guernsey airport (Channel Islands