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stakeholders cooperate and push use as the benefits of the innovation • A level playing field emerges, and the former “to be” state becomes the • Climate service direction, become clear “as is” state in the providers initiate coherence, or • The innovation is a sector(s) innovations to influence commonly

Outlook for global climate in the coming years

in the climate system over the next few years. They take into account natural variability as well as human influences. This is achieved by initialising climate models with observations of the current climate state, in addition to specifying changes in radiative forcing due to greenhouse gases, aerosols (both

Outlook for global climate in the coming years

are consistent with continued high levels of greenhouse gases.   Introduction Decadal forecasts are designed to predict fluctuations in the climate system over the next few years. They take into account natural variability as well as human influences. This is achieved by initialising climate models

Increase awareness that the changing climate will influence frequency of severe weather events. Met During the year there have been six ad hoc surveys following severe weather events where warnings have been issued, five of these surveys were after named storms with three of these surveys after Red

. Vizy, E. K., and K. H. Cook (2002), Development and application of a mesoscale climate model for the tropics: Influence of sea surface temperature anomalies on the West African monsoon, J. Geophys. Res., 107(D3), 4023, doi:10.1029/2001JD000686. Vizy, E. K., K. H. Cook, J. Crétat, and N. Neupane

Strategic Plan 2016-2019 BUILDING ON ACHIEVEMENTS For decades, WMO Members and their NMHSs have made remarkable progress delivering on WMO priorities. The following are recent examples over the last four years: a) WMO has played a key role in the establishment of the Global Framework for Climate

: “The biggest medium to long term risk to the UK’s domestic production comes from climate change and other environmental pressures like soil degradation, water quality and biodiversity”. We’re already seeing the influence of climate change with warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. UK Climate

between staple crop (i.e. maize, rice, wheat and soybean) production variations in China and globally, and global market prices, assessing the particular influence of natural climate variability and climate change. • exploring the potential role of climate information, on seasonal to multi-decadal

historical weather records Health, nutrition, and food utilisation Climate change also affects food utilisation by influencing health outcomes. Increased incidence of diseases such as diarrhoea and respiratory illness can impair nutrient absorption and increase nutritional needs. Poor health reduces labour

the delivery of multi-year action-plans aligned to the four objectives. The Diversity Council is attended by staff-led networks [and associated groups] meeting to collaborate and influence best practice across the Met Office. The ED&I Committee discusses issues in the wider Met Office Directorates around ED