hctn_june2023rapidukcpstudy_v1.pdf
Page 3 of 12 Introduction Following methodology developed to study the hot summer of 2018 and the 20˚C day in the UK February 2019 (McCarthy et al, 2019, Kendon et al, 2020), this note documents a study using the UK Climate Projections (UKCP) to assess the changing chance of observing the previously