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by atmospheric conditions supplied by the ERAI analysis. During the forecast, the ocean and sea ice are externally forced by fluxes derived from the NWP analysis. In particular, surface heat flux over sea ice and the conductive flux through the ice are derived under the assumption of 2m thick ice
Current Status: Over the last three months, warmer than normal conditions have been observed across the MENA, Caribbean and Southern Europe. The exceptions to this are in Yemen, Central Indian Ocean and Central Pacific Ocean where conditions have been colder than normal. Outlook: For the next three
air moved in and brought above average temperatures to northern Scotland and Northern Ireland, before spreading further south across the country over the next few days. High pressure persisted for around a week, with some frontal systems bringing showers but otherwise settled conditions. On the 24th
, it is evident that there are more marked turbulence areas in the new SIGWX forecast (Figure 3b) compared to the manually drawn SIGWX (Figure 3a). Many of these can be attributed to orographic turbulence. The jet stream over the Himalayas has a more extensive and severe turbulence forecast compared
include the possibility of mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions towards international targets. Each pathway drives a different range of simulated global mean temperature increases over the 21 st century. The RCP pathways lead to a broad range of climate outcomes but are neither forecasts nor
to melting in the subarctic seas rather than the Arctic Ocean. From July onwards, melting was mostly near- or below-average The summer of 2025 was rather warm in the Arctic, but in general the warmth did not occur over regions of vulnerable sea ice, except in areas where sea ice completely melts away every
our climate is changing and since the Industrial Revolution, the average temperature of the planet has risen over 1°C. This is a rapid change in terms of our global climate system. Previously, natural global changes are understood to have happened over much longer periods of time. Materials required
by our Biodiversity Working Group and Property Management team, the Biodiversity Benchmark gave us a standard to aspire to and then work to maintain. Over the subsequent years, by following our Biodiversity Action Plan, we have seen the different habitats we have on our site develop so that they now
chance of some damage to buildings, such as tiles blown from roofs and damage to temporary structures such as Christmas markets. By Sunday any showers will mainly become confined to eastern coastal areas but there could still be some snow but only over the hills. In a marked change from Autumn so far
Temperatures are expected to remain around average or slightly below average over the weekend, but the forecast of diminishing showers from Monday opens the door for temperatures to rise. Neil Armstrong is a Met Office Chief Forecaster. He said: “A period of showery conditions during summer always
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