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• scipsa_review_seasonal_forecasting_south_asia_finalpdf

  drivers of the South Asian climate are the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). These are irregular coupled atmosphere-ocean oscillations which drive variability in monsoon rainfall from year-to-year. In general, the warm (cool) phase of ENSO results in a drier (wetter

• trd---climate-risk-report-for-sea---v2-final-april-2026pdf

  represents an individual model run, and therefore a plausible outcome. Shades of brown indicate drier-than-average years, while blue shows years that were wetter than average. Three model configurations are shown: CMIP5 (top), CMIP6 (middle) and CORDEX SE Asia (bottom). Grey squares represent areas

• regional_training_workshop_seasonal-predictions_report_final.pdf

  the forecast data into X (Predictor) and the number of wet days into Y (Predictand) and setup CPT to produce precipitation maps plots for ROC below- and abovenormal number of wet days greater than a daily rainfall threshold of 0 mm or 10 mm, and the probabilistic forecasts for season of choice (OND

• regional_training_workshop_seasonal-predictions_report_finalpdf

  the forecast data into X (Predictor) and the number of wet days into Y (Predictand) and setup CPT to produce precipitation maps plots for ROC below- and abovenormal number of wet days greater than a daily rainfall threshold of 0 mm or 10 mm, and the probabilistic forecasts for season of choice (OND

• climate-risk-report-for-csa---v10-final-april-2026.pdf

  Asia region with some areas experiencing a wetting trend and others a drying trend. By the 2050s, all of South Asia will become significantly wetter in the monsoon season (June-September), particularly in southern Pakistan and western India. Eastern Himalayas, northern India, southern Nepal

• climate-risk-report-for-csa---v10-finalpdf

  contrasting precipitation trends across the South Asia region with some areas experiencing a wetting trend and others a drying trend. By the 2050s, all of South Asia will become significantly wetter in the monsoon season (June-September), particularly in southern Pakistan and western India. Eastern

• climate-risk-report-for-csa---v10-final.pdf

  contrasting precipitation trends across the South Asia region with some areas experiencing a wetting trend and others a drying trend. By the 2050s, all of South Asia will become significantly wetter in the monsoon season (June-September), particularly in southern Pakistan and western India. Eastern

• Met Office explains: What are monsoons?

  on Earth, receiving nearly 12 metres of rain annually, compared to around one metre in the UK. Interestingly, in contrast to much of South Asia, it is the northeast monsoon, not the southwest, that brings the primary wet season to southeastern India (including Tamil Nadu) and northeastern Sri Lanka

• arrcc_carissa_ws4_extreme_ppn_analysis_part_1_case_studies.pdf

  ) Srivastava et al. (2018) WMO (2008) Rajeevan et al. (2008) 2.1.2 Case study: Floods across South Asia region in 2007 The 2007 summer monsoon led to widespread flooding across the South Asia region, the main areas affected are shown in Figure 6. Over the duration of the monsoon season, 2000 people

• arrcc_carissa_ws4_extreme_ppn_analysis_part_1_case_studiespdf

  ) Srivastava et al. (2018) WMO (2008) Rajeevan et al. (2008) 2.1.2 Case study: Floods across South Asia region in 2007 The 2007 summer monsoon led to widespread flooding across the South Asia region, the main areas affected are shown in Figure 6. Over the duration of the monsoon season, 2000 people