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and Southwest England. Drier with brighter skies in the East and Southeast getting most of the sunshine and feeling warmer. Some scattered showers in Northern Scotland and Eastern England and windiest in the West and Southwest with other areas turning breezier Friday evening will see spells of rain

and northern England. Elsewhere, much of central and southern England and Wales will enjoy a fine and dry day with plenty of warm sunshine. It will feel breezier than Thursday, but temperatures will rise, particularly across the south and east. Highs of 27-28°C are expected in parts of southeast

The graphs below show a variety of measures of forecast errors and forecast skill for the Met Office global model forecasts of tropical cyclones in the Australian region (south Indian Ocean west of 90 degrees east and south Pacific Ocean). For those not familiar with the types of error statistics used in tropical cyclone forecast assessment and their sign conventions a diagrammatic explanation is available.

Festival of Flight Air Show - London Crimson Darts Weather Brief Forecaster: Saturday Summary: A band of rain moves South East across the UK. London will see thickening cloud and increasing wind throughout the day before rain arrives in the early evening. Morning: Wind Weather Temperature Afternoon: Wind Weather Temperature Evening: Wind Weather Temperature

-normal, though more mixed across DRC. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall The Short Rains season in East Africa brought wetter than normal conditions to many areas, most notably in November when most parts were very wet. In southern Africa during October, Zambia, Zimbabwe and Mozambique were wet

likelihood of drier than normal conditions in East Africa during the Short Rains (October to December) and wetter than normal conditions in Southern Africa (November to April). For the next three months, drier than normal conditions are most probable across much of Western Africa, including the Gulf

seasons typically start. Outlook: Consistent with previous outlooks, drier than normal conditions are most likely across much of East Africa for the remainder of the short rains season through November and December. This is now the fifth consecutive poor or failed rainy season, further exacerbating

- Rainfall Current Status: Most of East Africa has been wetter than normal. Rainfall has been normal over much of Southern Africa, except for Angola, Zambia, Malawi, northern Mozambique and southern Tanzania where it has been much wetter than normal. Conversely southern Mozambique has been drier than

and hot in the east during November. In Southern Africa Madagascar was cold during November whilst Malawi and Madagascar were hot. Outlook: Over the next three months, many parts of the continent are likely to be warmer than normal, apart from southern Africa where climatological odds are present. 3

: Rainfall has varied across the continent over the past three months. Over the past month, the West African Monsoon has been active across the Sahel region, and it has been wetter than normal from Senegal in the west across to Ethiopia in the east. Tropical regions of Africa have generally been drier