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Tropical cyclone forecast error charts - Australian region


Tropical cyclone forecast error charts - Australian region

The graphs below show a variety of measures of forecast errors and forecast skill for the Met Office global model forecasts of tropical cyclones in the Australian region (south Indian Ocean west of 90 degrees east and south Pacific Ocean).

For those not familiar with the types of error statistics used in tropical cyclone forecast assessment and their sign conventions a diagrammatic explanation is available.

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  • Observed and forecast tracks: northern hemisphere 2015
    All tropical cyclones in the northern hemisphere season in 2015 are listed below including details of their start and end dates, lowest central pressure and maximum sustained wind (MSW).
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  • Tropical cyclone forecast verification - northern hemisphere 2016
    A summary of tropical cyclone activity in the Northern Hemisphere for the 2016 season together with an assessment of the performance of the Met Office global model in predicting the track and intensity of these tropical cyclones.
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  • Observed and forecast tracks: southern hemisphere 2014-15
    All tropical cyclones in the southern hemisphere season in 2014-15 are listed below including details of their start and end dates and maximum sustained wind (MSW). Qualitative comments are included on the performance of the Met O
    Read more

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