UK forecast remains in a colder phase
The first widespread frost of autumn for many is a strong reminder that the forecast has entered a colder phase for at least a few days.
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Largely dry, sunny and cold today. Turning unsettled this weekend.
After a cold and frosty start, it will be a largely fine and dry day with plenty of sunshine, especially across England and Wales. Some showers likely near North Sea coasts. Cloudier with showers in the far north. Feeling cold.
Staying largely dry with lengthy clear spells across England and Wales and a fairly widespread frost. Turning cloudier in the south overnight. Further showers for northern parts of Scotland.
Largely fine and dry for England and Wales, although cloudier than previous days. Cloudier in northern Scotland with some rain and hill snow. Showers reaching southwest England later. Feeling cold.
Unsettled with spells of rain or showers Sunday and Monday. Rain in the south on Tuesday, with some hill snow possible. Brighter with showers elsewhere. Often windy and feeling cold.
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A gradual transition to more changeable conditions is expected at the start of the period. This will allow areas of low pressure to move in from the Atlantic and bring occasional bands of rain and periods of windy weather, however these look to be more focussed across southern areas, at least initially. Whereas northern areas are likely to remain in the colder, but generally drier and brighter conditions, for a little longer. Overall, this period is likely to be wetter than average for the majority of the country. And whilst colder conditions will be possible at times, it will often be mild, with temperatures near or a little above average for the time of year, particularly in the south.
Updated:
Changeable or unsettled conditions are expected initially, with Atlantic weather systems bringing spells of rain and strong winds at times, interspersed with brighter, showery periods. Through late-November, low pressure may become slower-moving to the west of the UK, potentially bringing more prolonged rainfall, particularly to southern and western areas, along with a continued risk of strong winds. Into December, confidence becomes low, but there is a possibility that low pressure tracks shift further south as high pressure builds to the north. This could bring further rain at times to central and southern areas, while northern parts become somewhat drier. Temperatures will probably be near or slightly above average in the south, with an increasing chance of colder conditions extending southwards from the north into December.
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