UK weather

Headline:

Dry to start with cloud and rain arriving later.

Today:

Largely dry with sunny spells and light winds to start. Cloud thickens from the southwest through the day, bringing outbreaks of mainly light rain into Wales and southwest England. Feeling warmer in the sunshine and light winds.

Tonight:

Cloud and rain edge northeast overnight, some heavy bursts and stronger winds mixed in. A much milder night than recently, becoming very mild in the southwest by dawn.

Monday:

Cloud, drizzle and outbreaks of rain move slowly east through the day, with extensive low cloud. Breezy and generally mild, while heavier rain reaches the northwest later.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Heavy rain and strong winds clear east on Tuesday, with brighter, cooler conditions following. Wednesday is largely dry and bright, before cloud, rain and strengthening winds return on Thursday.

The weather is expected to remain changeable. Low pressure systems will continue to run across the North Atlantic, often to the north and northwest of the UK, bringing occasional bands of rain and strong winds, interspersed with brighter and more showery conditions. Rain will be most prevalent across hills in the west and northwest, where above average rainfall is likely through this period. Longer drier interludes are more favoured in southern and eastern parts, but even here there will probably be more rain over the period compared to recent weeks. Whilst brief cooler interludes and early morning frosts are possible, temperatures are likely to be a little above normal in many areas for the period as a whole, and potentially quite mild at times during wetter and windier spells.

The rest of October and early November will probably maintain a changeable pattern overall, with areas of low pressure often passing close to, if not across, the UK from the North Atlantic. Showers or longer spells of rain are likely at times, with the wettest and windiest weather typically in the west and northwest, with drier conditions favoured in southern and eastern parts. A trend to more widely unsettled conditions is possible into November. Whilst some occasional colder interludes will be possible at times, temperatures are likely to be near or a little above average for the period as a whole.