UK weather

Headline:

Staying changable but showers and heavy rain for some.

Today:

Southern England starts the day cloudy with patchy drizzle. Elsewhere, largely dry with sunny spells. Later, rain spreads into Northern Ireland, southern Scotland and northern England, with blustery showers and possible thunderstorms in northwest Scotland. Very warm southeast, average elsewhere.

Tonight:

Heavy rain continues to affect central areas before slowly shifting towards the southeast later. Clearer spells developing in the north with blustery showers for much of western Scotland. Mild.

Friday:

Rain clears the southeast through the morning, leaving a mostly dry day with bright spells. Blustery showers affect northern areas, easing later. Strong winds in the north. Temperatures near normal.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Dry on Saturday with sunny spells. Sunday brings heavy rain and strong winds to northern areas, while the south stays drier. Monday remains bright but showery, with temperatures near average.

Overall, a fairly unsettled period is likely to begin this period with many places seeing showers or longer spells of rain at times, interspersed by drier periods. Rain is likely be most frequent across northern and western areas, while the south and east are more likely to see longer drier interludes. There is also the potential for some strong and gusty winds at times, particularly in the northwest. Temperatures are likely to be near average. However, further into mid-September, more settled weather is looking increasingly likely, bringing drier conditions with lighter winds and perhaps some warmer conditions too.

Settled conditions are most likely initially before a transition to more unsettled and changeable conditions towards the latter parts of September, though confidence is low at this lead time. Driest conditions through this period are likely to be seen across the south east, with wetter and windier weather more likely to the north west. Temperatures are likely to be slightly above average initially before becoming near-average towards the latter parts of September.