An early look at the July statistics: just how dry has it been?
A prolonged heatwave, exceptionally low rainfall and widespread drought conditions have combined to make July 2026 a remarkable month.
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Turning hotter next week.
A few showers across northern Scotland, elsewhere will be fine, dry and warmer than Saturday, especially across England and Wales. Increasing cloud in some western areas may bring the odd spot of rain later, but many places will stay dry.
Cloud will increase across Northern Ireland, Scotland and northern England, bringing some outbreaks of rain. Elsewhere, it will stay mostly dry with clear spells, particularly across southern and eastern areas.
Rain spreads north across Scotland, with heavier showers possible in Northern Ireland. Many other areas remain dry with sunny spells. Feeling hot in the southeast, with a chance of thunderstorm.
Unsettled at first, with spells of rain and some heavy showers, especially in northern areas. Conditions gradually improve later, becoming drier for many. Hot in the southeast, cooler further north.
Updated:
A generally changeable period looks likely and many places are likely to see some rain or showers at times, interspersed with drier and sunnier spells. Many areas will start with a few drier days, although there will be some showers in the north. There is, however, a chance that deeper low pressure brings more widespread unsettled conditions for a time. Into mid August more changeable or unsettled conditions probably become prevalent. This may be due to Atlantic frontal systems or thundery plumes moving north from the continent or a combination of both. Temperatures will likely be a little above average, and there is the potential for some very warm or hot and humid spells, especially in the south, although perhaps not the heat we have seen in recent weeks.
Updated:
It will probably be changeable to start the period, with spells of unsettled weather interspersed with some drier interludes. Later into August it will most likely turn predominantly dry and settled, as high pressure patterns seem likely to influence the UK. This may be interrupted at times by Atlantic frontal systems, especially in the north, or by thunderstorms in the south. Nonetheless, overall rainfall amounts will likely be below normal. Temperatures will probably be above normal and some spells of hot weather and heatwaves are possible, especially in the south.
Updated: