UK weather

Headline:

A north-south split today.

Today:

Cloudy across much of Scotland and Northern Ireland with outbreaks of rain, turning heavy and persistent across western Scotland. Dry elsewhere with plenty of sunshine in the south once early fog clears mid to late morning. Feeling warm in sunshine.

Tonight:

Cloud, outbreaks of rain and brisk winds across Scotland and Northern Ireland will sink southwards into northern England and Wales. Clear spells elsewhere leading to some fog forming by dawn.

Monday:

Dry with sunny spells in the south and east, once any fog clears. Cloudier elsewhere with some patchy rain, heaviest and most persistent on northwestern upslopes.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Rain transfers southeastwards throughout Tuesday and Wednesday, potentially heavy for a time in the southeast. Dry and bright for most on Thursday. Feeling warm initially but turning colder for all.

Fine and dry weather, with a few showers in the north, will quickly give way to a more changeable period as weather systems move in from the Atlantic towards the end of next week and into the following weekend. These will bring spells of rain or showers to most areas, heavy at times (especially in the northwest) with some strong winds. However, there will still be some drier interludes between systems. Into the middle of the month, similarly changeable conditions are most likely, with a mixture of Atlantic weather systems interspersed with some drier, brighter spells. Temperatures will likely be near to or slightly below normal at first, perhaps becoming warmer later.

The second half of October will probably maintain a changeable pattern overall with weather systems often moving in from the Atlantic. These will bring showers or longer spells of rain, with the wettest and windiest weather in the northwest, drier in the southeast. There is a chance that a period of more widely dry conditions could develop for a time, but confidence in the details of this is low. Temperatures will probably be above average overall.