UK weather

Headline:

Dry and fine for many, turning warmer in the south.

Today:

Early fog in the far southwest clears quickly. Most areas stay dry with sunshine and variable cloud, though northern and northeastern regions may see isolated showers. Light winds overall, breezier northeast. Warm in the southwest, cooler northern and eastern coasts.

Tonight:

Mostly dry with light winds, gusty in the far southwest spreading northeast. Cloudier northern and eastern coasts with some rain possible; otherwise clear spells. Chance of showers southwest by dawn.

Monday:

Staying dry with sunny spells. Showers track east across southern areas, possibly thundery. Cloud thickens in the west and north with evening rain. Winds light to moderate, temperatures near average.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Cloudy in the west and north with rain at times, heavy in places. Brighter spells developing. Blustery showers later, especially north. Generally warm in the southeast, near average elsewhere.

The first few days of this period are likely to see something of a northwest-southeast split in the weather across the UK. Areas towards the north and west are most likely to often be cloudier, with spells of rain, some of which could be heavy and accompanied by breezy conditions. Further southeast, a greater chance of drier conditions, although given the potential for high temperatures and high humidity, there is the possibility of some thunderstorms breaking out as well. Towards late June, there is a signal for more widely settled conditions to develop with high pressure more likely to dominate, with temperatures probably remaining above average for most.

High pressure is expected to lie close to the UK at the start of this period, bringing largely settled and dry conditions. Temperatures will likely be above normal, with the potential for hot conditions to develop, especially in the south. Further into July, the influence of high pressure may weaken or shift more to the north or west of the UK, bringing an increasing chance of more unsettled weather and thunderstorms, especially in the south. Temperatures will probably ease back closer to normal too, although some warm and humid spells remain possible at times.