UK weather

Headline:

Mostly fine on Saturday, though a few showers developing.

Today:

After a chilly start, most areas will have a dry day on Saturday with sunny spells. However, a north to northeasterly breeze will feed some showers into the east and southeast of England, with a few also affecting Northern Scotland.

Tonight:

Breezy and showery conditions will continue to affect the east and southeast of England overnight. Largely dry elsewhere with clear periods and lighter winds. Patches of fog and frost forming.

Sunday:

The east, and more especially southeast of England will remain breezy with showers, some heavy. Showers may extend westwards into central and southern England later. Fine elsewhere with sunny spells.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

Monday looks cloudier overall with some showery rain, though much of Scotland and Northern Ireland could stay fine with an early frost. Generally more unsettled, though likely slightly milder thereafter.

It is looking increasingly likely that a changeable if not unsettled spell of weather will affect the UK through this period, with spells of wet and windy weather arriving from the Atlantic followed by drier though still showery interludes. While there is still a chance that high pressure will build near the UK again during late October, it is more likely that the changeable or unsettled regime will continue once established. It is possible that stormy weather may also develop at times. Temperatures are likely to be near or a little above normal overall, with mild spells likely at times, especially towards the south. In between frontal systems, colder nights are possible, with a touch of frost.

This period is highly uncertain, more so than normal, but overall it seems more likely than not that weather patterns will be dominated by westerly or southwesterly winds from the Atlantic during this period. This will result in occasional spells of wet and windy weather followed by drier but still showery interludes. High pressure may attempt to build across the country at times but any settled spells are most likely to be short-lived. Temperatures are likely to be near or above average overall.