UK weather

Headline:

Changeable this week and turning cooler.

Today:

Sunny spells and scattered showers today across Scotland, and feeling cool here. Cloudy across northern England Wales and the Midlands with showery outbreaks of rain. Warm sunny spells in the southeast.

Tonight:

Rain gradually spreading across England and Wales tonight, turning heavy at times. Chilly in Scotland and Northern Ireland with a patchy frost possible.

Wednesday:

Heavy rain will slowly move east across England and Wales on Wednesday. Sunny spells and scattered showers in Northern Ireland and Scotland. Turning cooler across the UK.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Changeable over the next few days with spells of rain at times or heavy showers. Some drier and brighter intervals too, and feeling cooler than of late.

It will likely be quite changeable through the middle of October, as a series of low pressure systems run across the North Atlantic, often to the north and northwest of the UK, bringing occasional bands of rain and strong winds, but interspersed with brighter and more showery conditions. Rain will be most prevalent across hills in the west and especially northwest, where above average rainfall is likely through this period. Longer drier interludes are more favoured in sheltered southern and eastern parts, but even here it is likely to be wetter than during recent weeks. Whilst brief cooler interludes are possible, temperatures are likely to be a little above average in many areas for the period as a whole.

The remainder of October and into early November will probably maintain a changeable pattern overall, with areas of low pressure often passing close to the UK from the North Atlantic, interspersed by occasional but short-lived ridges of high pressure. This regime will bring showers or longer spells of rain at times, with the wettest and windiest weather typically in the west and northwest, driest conditions more favoured in sheltered southern and eastern parts. Whilst some occasional colder interludes will be possible at times, temperatures are likely to be near or a little above average for the period as a whole.