UK weather

Headline:

Wet and windy in the northwest today. Warm sunshine elsewhere.

Today:

Scotland, Northern Ireland, northwest England and northwest Wales will have a windy day with showery outbreaks of rain, this turning heavy and persistent at times. After a chilly start elsewhere, it will be mostly dry with some warm sunshine developing.

Tonight:

A weakening band of rain will move southeastwards into England and Wales overnight. Clear spells and a few showers to the northwest. Clear spells and fog patches in the southeast.

Saturday:

Some rain across the north and west of Scotland on Saturday, and some showers affecting central and southwest England and southeast Wales. Otherwise fine with some warm spells of sunshine.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Windy with rain in the north and northwest on Sunday. Mostly fine elsewhere. Rather cloudy on Monday with patchy rain. Further rain in the northwest on Tuesday, moving slowly southeast.

Cloudy with some rain in the far southeast and heavy showers in the far north, but otherwise a good deal of fine and dry weather at the start of this period. This will quickly change as weather systems move in from the Atlantic at the end of next week and over the following weekend. These will bring spells of rain or showers to most areas, heavy at times (especially in the northwest) with some strong winds. Into the middle of the month, similarly changeable conditions are most likely, with a mixture of Atlantic weather systems interspersed with some drier, brighter spells. Temperatures will likely be near to or slightly below normal at first, maybe becoming warmer later.

The second half of October will probably maintain a changeable pattern overall with showers or longer spells of rain often moving in from the Atlantic. This means the wettest and at times windiest weather is more likely in the west and northwest, and relatively drier conditions more likely towards the south and east. With a westerly type considered most likely, this would support temperatures remaining close to or a little above average overall. However, there is a chance that more slowly evolving weather patterns develop, which could either lead to longer drier spells more widely or rainfall accumulating in climatologically drier areas.