Weather and climate change

Headline:

Turning wet and windy from the west on Thursday.

Today:

A dry, bright but widely chilly start to the day. Turning increasingly cloudy from the west with rain arriving across Northern Ireland by early afternoon and reaching western areas by the evening. Becoming windy with coastal gales developing.

Tonight:

Wind and rain continuing to spread eastwards overnight, with clear spells and showers following from the west. Widely windy with coastal gales. Milder than recent nights.

Friday:

Rain slowly clearing the southeast during the morning. Elsewhere sunny spells and showers, these most frequent and locally heavy in the west, perhaps with thunder and hails. Gusty winds.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday:

Remaining unsettled this weekend. Some brighter weather at times through Saturday, though interspersed with heavy showers. Showers becoming less frequent by Sunday, Further spells of rain arriving Monday. Temperatures recovering.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC) on Thu 30 Oct 2025

The changeable and at times unsettled weather is likely to continue to start this period, with low pressure dominating the UK. This means further showers or longer spells of rain at times. All parts could see some heavy rain, but it is likely that western areas will be wettest. Strong winds are likely at times, with gales possible in the west. Equally there should also be some drier or clearer interludes, these more prevalent further east. There will likely be a transition to a less unsettled pattern later in the period making drier interludes more common. Winds predominantly blowing from a westerly or southwesterly quadrant. Above average temperatures are most likely, with a reduced incidence of overnight frost and fog, compared to normal, especially at first.

Updated: 14:00 (UTC) on Thu 30 Oct 2025

A gradual transition from an unsettled westerly type to something less unsettled is anticipated through the middle part of the month. With time, greater incidences of high pressure look set to affect the UK, bringing more in the way of dry weather, but also increasing the chances of overnight fog and frost. Later in the month any low pressure systems will likely be steered to the northwest of the UK. As such the majority of any wet and windy weather is more likely to affect areas further to the north. Overall, temperatures look to pan out near to a little above average.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC) on Wed 29 Oct 2025