2026 outlook: likely another year above 1.4°C
The Met Office outlook for the global average temperature in 2026 suggests an extension of the run of years with a value above 1.4°C, compared to pre-industria…
Read moreFlood warnings in force for:
| England | Environment Agency |
|---|---|
| Wales | Natural Resources Wales |
Wet and windy conditions spreading from the southwest.
Bright with showers in the north. Widely cloudy elsewhere with rain soon moving in from the south. Prolonged, heavy downpours may cause travel disruption, especially across southern England and Wales. Windy for many, especially in the south.
Rain clearing east through the evening. Clear spells and scattered showers following, these most frequent in the north and west. A blustery but rather mild night for all.
Sunny spells and scattered showers, driest in the south and east. Showers most frequent in the north and west with thunder possible. Remaining windy for all with near average temperatures.
Rain edging in from the west on Saturday, drier in the east. Further spells of rain or showers through Sunday and Monday and rather cloudy throughout. Winds easing from Sunday.
Updated:
Unsettled conditions are likely to continue at first, with low pressure probably centred somewhere to the southwest of the UK, whilst high pressure becomes established to the northeast. This means a broadly easterly flow will become increasingly dominant through next week, whilst periods of rain or showers become increasingly confined to southern or southwestern parts. With time, high pressure is signaled to become more dominant with more in the way of dry, settled weather anticipated though there could be some isolated showers to eastern parts, that could perhaps be wintry at times. Temperatures will lower compared to recent weeks, closer to or perhaps a little below average for many. Overnight frost and fog or freezing fog could become more prevalent, though any particularly cold conditions look unlikely at this stage.
Updated:
High pressure is fairly likely to be close by to the UK at the start of this period, though its exact position is rather more uncertain. This means a continuation of predominantly settled and dry weather for many, albeit with the potential for overnight frost and fog. With colder air likely near to or over the UK, the chance of wintry hazards is higher than in previous weeks. Towards mid-month, there is the potential for rather more changeable conditions to become re-established, although confidence in this aspect of the forecast is currently low.
Updated: